ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Sustain. Food Syst.
Sec. Agricultural and Food Economics
Volume 9 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fsufs.2025.1593613
This article is part of the Research TopicEnhancing Food Security and Trade Resilience in Sustainable Agricultural SystemsView all 28 articles
Trade War and Grain Import Resilience: Evidence from China's Response to U.S. Tariffs
Provisionally accepted
- Henan Institute of Technology, Xinxiang, Henan Province, China
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Examing the impact of China-US trade friction on China's grain import resilience can provide valuable insights for China and other developing countries in achieving food security. On the basis of defining the theoretical connotation of China's grain import resilience, this study employs data from 2013 to 2023 and applies a difference-in-differences (DID) approach to quantitatively analyzes the impact of China US trade frictions on China's grain import resilience.The study shows that the trade friction between China and the United States has an obvious negative impact on the resilience of China's grain imports. During the U.S.-China trade friction period, China's grain import prices rose, price volatility increased, import volume declined, import tempo changed, and the degree of import diversification declined. This shows that China's grain import resilience, recovery capacity and transformation and upgrading capacity need to be improved. Developing countries can enhance their food supply capacity by adopting measures such as diversifying import sources, expanding domestic production, promoting regional cooperation, and establishing strategic reserve systems. Specific strategies may include actively cultivating new trade partnerships, strengthening irrigation and water conservancy infrastructure, and modernizing grain storage facilities.
Keywords: trade friction between China and the United States, China's grain imports, DID, resilience, Developing Countries
Received: 14 Mar 2025; Accepted: 16 Jun 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Han. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Dong Han, Henan Institute of Technology, Xinxiang, 453003, Henan Province, China
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