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COMMUNITY CASE STUDY article

Front. Sustain. Food Syst.

Sec. Land, Livelihoods and Food Security

Volume 9 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fsufs.2025.1612302

This article is part of the Research TopicDigital Agricultural Technologies for Improving Food Security OutcomesView all 4 articles

Predicting Millennial Farmer Success by Highlighting the Role of Digitalization and Technology in Increasing Productivity

Provisionally accepted
Yanter  HutapeaYanter Hutapea1Andjar  PrasetyoAndjar Prasetyo2*Yardha  YardhaYardha Yardha1Nur  Imdah MinsyahNur Imdah Minsyah1Demas  WamaerDemas Wamaer1Suharyon  SuharyonSuharyon Suharyon1Achmad  TarmiziAchmad Tarmizi3Sekar  Nur WulandariSekar Nur Wulandari4Dwi  SeptiyariniDwi Septiyarini5Ari  Sasmoko AdiAri Sasmoko Adi6
  • 1National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), Bogor, Jakarta, Indonesia
  • 2Bappeda Kota Magelang, Central Java, Indonesia, Magelang, Indonesia
  • 3Expert Staff of The Regent in Government Affairs, Ogan Komering Ulu Regency, South Sumatera Province, Indonesia, Ogan Komering Ulu Regency,, Indonesia
  • 4Regional Development Planning Research and Innovation Agency of Tanjung Pinang Province, Indonesia, Tanjung Pinang, Indonesia
  • 5Regional Development Research and Development Agency of West Kalimantan, Indonesia, Pontianak, Indonesia
  • 6Regional Development Planning Agency of East Kalimantan Province, Samarinda, Indonesia, Samarinda, Indonesia

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

This study aims to analyze the main factors that affect the success of millennial farmers in increasing quantity in Indonesia. This study uses a quantitative approach with the K-Nearest Neighbors Regression model to predict the success of millennial farmers based on three main factors, infrastructure, business dynamism, and the adoption of information and communication technology. Secondary data was collected from the conversion index of the number of millennial farmers aged 39+ years who use digital and modern technology, for the three main factors of the regional competitiveness index in 34 provinces with analysis based on Mean Squared Error and Mean Dropout Loss. The results show that infrastructure (0.101) and business dynamism (0.099) have the greatest impact on the success of millennial farmers, while technology adoption (0.025) contributes less. While digitalization is important, its effectiveness depends on the readiness of the infrastructure and supporting business ecosystems. Theoretically, this research enriches the literature on digital transformation in agriculture. In practical terms, these results confirm the need for infrastructure investment and policies that support business innovation so that digitalization has an optimal impact on millennial farmers.

Keywords: Millennial farmers, digitalization, agricultural productivity, Agricultural technology, Machinelearning, K-nearest neighbors, infrastructure, Business dynamism

Received: 15 Apr 2025; Accepted: 30 Aug 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Hutapea, Prasetyo, Yardha, Minsyah, Wamaer, Suharyon, Tarmizi, Wulandari, Septiyarini and Adi. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Andjar Prasetyo, Bappeda Kota Magelang, Central Java, Indonesia, Magelang, Indonesia

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