ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Earth Sci.

Sec. Geohazards and Georisks

Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/feart.2025.1581457

This article is part of the Research TopicNatural Disaster Prediction Based on Experimental and Numerical MethodsView all 13 articles

Probability analysis of undrained clay slope stability considering strength anisotropy and heterogeneous rotated anisotropy

Provisionally accepted
Wei  CaoWei Cao1,2Wenjing  LiWenjing Li3*Haiyang  YiHaiyang Yi1Yuanyuan  LiuYuanyuan Liu1
  • 1North China Institute of Science and Technology, Langfang, China
  • 2Beihang University, Beijing, Beijing Municipality, China
  • 3Yanching Institute of Technology, Langfang, Hebei Province, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Strength anisotropy and heterogeneous rotated anisotropy are prevalent phenomena in natural slopes. Previous studies have underscored their significance in slope stability analysis. However, in previous slope stability analyses, the effects of strength anisotropy and heterogeneous rotated anisotropy on slope stability were studied separately, without considering their coupled effect. This paper aims to propose a probabilistic analysis framework of slope stability considering the coupled effect of strength anisotropy and heterogeneous rotated anisotropy. Through an undrained clay slope case, the proposed probabilistic analysis framework is examined. The influence of strength anisotropy and heterogeneous rotated anisotropy on slope stability is investigated. The results show that the proposed probabilistic analysis framework of slope stability considering the coupled effect of strength anisotropy and heterogeneous rotated anisotropy is effective. Both strength anisotropy and heterogeneous rotated anisotropy have an important influence on slope stability. Furthermore, the statistics of safety factor including mean value, coefficient of variation, and reliability index, vary with the strength anisotropy coefficient, the heterogeneous anisotropy coefficient, and the rotational angle. The smaller the strength anisotropy coefficient, the larger the heterogeneous anisotropy coefficient, and the smaller the reliability index. The rotational angle of strata corresponding to the minimum and maximum values of the slope reliability index is sensitive to the strength anisotropy coefficient, but not to the heterogeneous anisotropy coefficient.

Keywords: Probability analysis, slope stability, Strength anisotropy, heterogeneous rotated anisotropy, Rotational angle

Received: 22 Feb 2025; Accepted: 18 Apr 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Cao, Li, Yi and Liu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Wenjing Li, Yanching Institute of Technology, Langfang, Hebei Province, China

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.