ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Environ. Sci.
Sec. Land Use Dynamics
Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1617829
Study on Dynamic Changes in Land Use and Ecosystem Service Value in the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt Based on Multi-Scenario Simulations
Provisionally accepted
- 1Huainan Normal University, Huainan, Anhui Province, China
- 2First Exploration Team of Anhui Coalfield Geological Bureau, Huainan, China
- 3Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
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This reseach investigated the changes of land use as well as ecosystem service value (ESV) of the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt (HREEB) which is a critical ecological functional zone in China. This research utilised land-use data to analyse the spatiotemporal dynamics of land-use patterns of the HREEB. The patch-generating land-use simulation model was utilized to simulate land-use patterns under three distinct scenarios for the year 2030. The ESV was quantified using the equivalent factor method. Furthermore, Pearson correlation analysis and the geographic detector model were employed to examine the impacts of factors on the ESV. The results showed that (1) From 2000 to 2020, farmlands predominated as the primary land-use type, followed by artificial surfaces, forests and water bodies. The most notable land-use trend was the conversion of farmlands into artificial surfaces.(2) Between 2000 and 2005, the overall ESV rose, but from 2005 to 2020, it decreased. By 2030, the ESV under the ecological protection scenario would higher than other scenarios (3) Land-use types (espacially water bodies and artifical surfaces), NDVI and soil type were identified as the crucial drivers of ESV variation. Thus, our results can offers considerable theoretical insights for formulating environmental conservation and land-use strategies for the region.
Keywords: land use, ESV, patch-generating land-use simulation, Geographic detector, HREEB
Received: 28 Apr 2025; Accepted: 18 Jun 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Li, Wu, Qiu, Li, Ning, Wang, Liu and Ma. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Ling Liu, Huainan Normal University, Huainan, Anhui Province, China
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