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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Environ. Sci.

Sec. Land Use Dynamics

Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1650777

Spatial-temporal evolution and prediction of habitat quality in the Yellow River Basin

Provisionally accepted
  • 1Department of Geography, Xinzhou Teachers University,China, Xinzhou, China
  • 2Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Assessment and predictive analysis of the ecological environment quality of river basins are important for achieving coordinated development between ecological protection and high-quality development. In this study, we simulated and analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of future land use and habitat quality in the Yellow River Basin using the PLUS and InVEST models. The results show that: (1) from 2000 to 2020, grassland, cultivated land, and forest land dominated the land categories, with a continuous loss of cultivated land and rapid expansion of construction land; (2) under the natural development scenario (NG-S), construction land expanded significantly; under the ecological protection scenario (EP-S), grassland increased; under the cultivated land protection scenario (AP-S), cultivated and construction land increased while ecological land decreased; and under the coordinated development scenario (CEPAP-S), cultivated land and grassland increased slightly; (3) overall stability was observed from 2000 to 2020, but with an internal trend of "polarization"; and(4) in the future, only the EP-S and CEPAP-S scenarios are projected to improve habitat quality, whereas other scenarios would lead to degradation.

Keywords: habitat quality, Plus model, InVEST model, Land use type, Yellow River Basin

Received: 20 Jun 2025; Accepted: 11 Aug 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Hou, Wu and Guo. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Yanjun Hou, Department of Geography, Xinzhou Teachers University,China, Xinzhou, China

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