ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. For. Glob. Change
Sec. Pests, Pathogens and Invasions
Volume 8 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/ffgc.2025.1659630
Modelling the potential distribution and niche shift of Solenopsis invicta Buren under climate change and invasion process
Provisionally accepted
- 1Jiangxi Institute of Land Space Survey and Planning, Nanchang, China
- 2Technology Innovation Center for Land Spatial Ecological Protection and Restoration in Great Lakes Basin, Ministry of Natural Resources, Nanchang, China
- 3Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, China
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As one of the most destructive and aggressive exotic harmful species, Solenopsis invicta Buren has spread rapidly in China, posinged serious threats to biodiversity as well asand human production and life. To formulate effective prevention and control measures, we first compared the bioclimatic variables of S. invicta betweenin China and the USA., Subsequently, we employed and then used the MaxEnt model and the "ecospat" package to predict the potential distribution and niche shift of S. invicta. The similar average annual temperature and annual precipitation betweenin China and the USA serve as crucialare important ecological and environmental foundations for the successful invasion of S. invicta. Under the current climate, S. invicta are is primarilymainly distributed in the eastern and southern coastal regionsareas of China and the USA under current climate. Under future climate scenarios, The the suitable habitat area of for S. invicta is projected to continue increasing in China will continue to increase under future climate, while it is expected to decrease but the area in the USA will continue to decrease. Mean diurnal range (Bio2), and precipitation seasonality (Bio15), and other climatic factors exhibitedshowed vitalsignificant niche differentiation. The niche of S. invicta has significant shifted in both climaticclimate and geographic spaces, while maintaining its niche conservatism during the invasion process. S. invicta can effectively adapt well to new habitats through niche shifts during the invasion process. It is not advisableso applicable to directly applysimply learn from the prediction experiences and threshold values in from the United States to guide the prevention and control of S. invicta in China in the future. Overall, the analysis provided the a scientific basis for the government and local organizations to prevent and control of S. invicta.
Keywords: Solenopsis invicta Buren, Species invasion, MAXENT model, Ecospat, Habitat change, Niche shift
Received: 04 Jul 2025; Accepted: 13 Oct 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Tang, Deng, He, Zhou, Yuan and Zeng. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Yue Deng, jxgisdy@126.com
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