ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Public Health
Sec. Aging and Public Health
Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1541353
Neck Pain Burden in China and G20 Countries: An Analysis of 1990-2021 with a 30-Year Forecast for China
Provisionally accepted
- Shenzhen Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Shenzhen, China
Select one of your emails
You have multiple emails registered with Frontiers:
Notify me on publication
Please enter your email address:
If you already have an account, please login
You don't have a Frontiers account ? You can register here
Background: Neck pain (NP) represents a significant global public health challenge and is the fourth leading cause of disability in China and among G20 nations (1). Given the accelerating trends of population ageing and shifts in contemporary lifestyles, the burden of NP is likely to increase, necessitating urgent, comprehensive analysis and the formulation of effective interventions.This study utilizes the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database to extract data concerning the incidence, prevalence, DALY rate, ASIR, ASPR, ASDR, and other relevant metrics of noncommunicable diseases in China and G20 countries from 1990 to 2021. The analysis is conducted via the R programming language, with joinpoint regression employed to calculate the APC and AAPC. Additionally, an ARIMA model is utilized to forecast the incidence rate in China over the next 30 years.
Keywords: Neck Pain, Incidence, Prevalence, Disability-adjusted life years, Joinpoint regression analysis
Received: 07 Dec 2024; Accepted: 09 Jul 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Li, Chang, Qin, Li, Hu, Yang, Li and Xie. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Yufeng Xie, Shenzhen Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Shenzhen, China
Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.