ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Public Health

Sec. Infectious Diseases: Epidemiology and Prevention

Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1592602

Risk Factors for Mumps in Children Under 15 Years of Age During the Transition from Single-Dose to Two-Dose MMR Vaccination Strategy: A Matched Case-Control Study

Provisionally accepted
Huaxian  LiuHuaxian Liu1Yan  XieYan Xie1Zhongkui  ZhuZhongkui Zhu1Yuanbao  LiuYuanbao Liu2Yang  YuYang Yu1Jintao  WangJintao Wang1Lu  ShenLu Shen1Yunke  QianYunke Qian1Wanqin  TangWanqin Tang1*
  • 1Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Taizhou Disease Prevention and Control Center, Taizhou, China
  • 2Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control And Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Background: This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for mumps in children under 15 years of age during the transition from a single-dose to a two-dose measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine strategy, providing a scientific basis for public health policies and interventions.From the China Disease Prevention and Control (CDC) Information System, 547 children aged 0-14 years diagnosed with mumps in Taizhou City between 2021 and 2023 were included as cases. Controls were matched 1:1 and surveyed by the same investigator.The analysis included 547 matched case-control pairs (343 males and 204 females) of children aged <15 years. The median age of the matched case-control pairs was 72 months. Among cases, children aged 49-72 months accounted for the highest proportion (28.52%). The multifactorial study showed that longer local residence (OR=0.548, 95%CI 0.403~0.744), history of Mumps Component Vaccine (MuCV) (OR=0.103, 95%CI 0.036~0.297), and belief that children would not get mumps (OR=0.197, 95%CI 0.121~0.319) reduced the risk of mumps infection. In contrast, families with multiple births (OR=1.926, 95%CI 1.405~2.640), being cared by someone other than parents (e.g., grandparents, babysitters, relatives or staff at a childcare centre) (OR=4.366, 95%CI 2.417~7.888), a higher level of the most frequently visited hospital (OR=2.012, 95%CI 1.490~2.716), going into a crowded indoor place without wearing a mask (OR=1.699, 95%CI 1.237~2.334), believing that mumps is not an infectious disease (OR=1.782, 95%CI 1.274~2.492), believing that the disease is not serious (OR=1.507, 95%CI 1.260~1.802), and believing that MuCV cannot prevent mumps (OR=2.052, 95% CI 1.451~2.901) increased the risk of mumps infection. Conclusion: For mumps prevention and control, targeted interventions should prioritize children aged 4-6 years and high-risk populations, including short-term residents, multi-child families, and childcare settings. Guardians should be encouraged to gain accurate knowledge about mumps and the protective effects of vaccination to mitigate vaccine hesitancy, ultimately controlling mumps outbreaks in the population.

Keywords: Mumps, Risk factors, Children Under 15 Years of Age, MMR Vaccination Strategy, Matched case-control study

Received: 12 Mar 2025; Accepted: 19 Jun 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Liu, Xie, Zhu, Liu, Yu, Wang, Shen, Qian and Tang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Wanqin Tang, Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Taizhou Disease Prevention and Control Center, Taizhou, China

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