Introduction
Scientists are asked to describe and understand the complex behavior of natural processes. This is often done in difficult conditions, with instruments detecting specific indicators and providing limited datasets to satisfy knowledge and imagination. Despite these limitations, many studies have been able to provide unprecedented understanding of different processes in nature, albeit often under specific (i.e., simplified) conditions. A progressively more quantitative approach has been often obtained exploiting the latest technological improvements available.
The study of volcanic, or more generally, magmatic processes well exemplifies these conditions and progression (Figure 1). Qualitative reports of how volcanoes erupt date back to thousands of years, as the description of the 79 AD Vesuvio eruption from Pliny the Younger; however, most of our qualitative and quantitative understanding of the volcano factory and its various indicators has been definitely achieved in the frame of the technological boost of the last decades.
Figure 1
Certainly, the tremendous improvement of the monitoring system of active and erupting volcanoes has allowed detecting many changes in the geophysical, geodetic and geochemical behavior before, during and after eruptions (e.g., Lowenstern et al., ; Sigmundsson et al., 2010; Chiodini et al., ). As a result, a significant amount of data has been collected on a reasonable amount of active volcanoes worldwide, and it is in general possible to assign some physical or chemical meaning to many detected changes. This knowledge is also crucial to define when a volcano enters a phase of deviation from its baseline, or unrest, which may culminate in an eruption and to forecast any impending eruption. The understanding of the processes occurring within volcanoes, ultimately leading to the geophysical, geodetic and geochemical changes detected at the surface, is supported by analytical, numerical, and experimental models (e.g., Cayol et al., ; Gudmundsson, ; Caricchi et al., ; Ruch et al., 2012). Modeling has reached a relatively sophisticated stage, allowing understanding otherwise inaccessible and/or long-lasting 2D and, to a lesser extent, 3D processes. Similarly crucial to understand the mean to longer-term behavior of volcanoes are many field and petrological-geochemical studies, supported by dating techniques (e.g., Gravley et al., ; Thordarson and Larsen, 2007; Collins et al., ; Wilson and Charlier, 2009; Corsaro et al., ). In particular, field studies prove fundamental in reconstructing the eruptive history of a volcano, including the eruption location, type, size and frequency; petrological and geochemical studies provide an invaluable amount of information on the processes and times characterizing the formation of the magma, its rise and emplacement within the crust, including mixing, mingling, crustal assimilation, and fractionation.
These approaches have allowed reaching a dramatic advancement in our understanding of volcanoes. An overview of the major improvements in volcanology in the last decades is beyond the scope of this contribution. For facts, one can refer to the comprehensive, detailed and essential overview of Cashman and Sparks (). This includes many of the important studies on the emplacement (formation of magma chambers), rise (eruption triggers, dike propagation), and eruption of magma (conduit construction and evolution, magma rheology and fragmentation, eruptive styles). The described amount of research underlines the impressive efforts made by the volcanological community in considering and analyzing the several complex evolutionary stages of a magma within the volcano factory, from its generation to its eruption. Even though the reached level of knowledge may not unravel the many questions behind the volcano factory, it certainly provides a robust platform to test hypotheses and plan more advanced and sophisticated studies.
Indeed, despite the important achievements, modern volcanology still has to fully define and understand several major processes, involving different topics and approaches, and resulting in likewise challenges for the future. Here the first-order processes, or challenges for volcanology, are summarized in an ideal journey from the deepest to the shallowest portions of the volcano factory (Figure 2). Many of these processes may be unraveled not only by observations on volcanoes on Earth, but also on extraterrestrial volcanoes, including those on Venus, Mars and Io. While studies on terrestrial volcanism provide the key to understand also extraterrestrial volcanism, it is likewise expectable that observations on adequately imaged volcanic edifices from Mars and Venus allow to better define volcanic processes on Earth.
Figure 2
Challenge 1: formation and development of magmatic reservoirs
Many of the questions we ask ourselves on the behavior of active volcanoes at the surface inevitably lead to the dynamics of the underlying magma reservoirs, often highlighting the limited knowledge on the deeper processes. For example, despite field and theoretical studies on the mechanical and thermal constraints for the generation of magma reservoirs, we still do not have a clear understanding on why and how magma may emplace and accumulate within the crust. Certainly, density contrasts between magma and the host rock, as well as physical (including elasticity, temperature, pre-existing discontinuities) contrasts within the host rock, may play a fundamental role in the formation and development of magma reservoirs; however, other parameters, as magma flux and mixing, hydrothermal alteration, crustal rheology and regional tectonic conditions may be also important (e.g., Kavanagh et al., ; Valentine and Krogh, 2006; Famin and Michon, ; Gudmundsson, ; Leuthold et al., ). Which of these processes, and under which physical conditions, is more likely to control magma emplacement within the crust? Conditions and thresholds should be investigated, also in a comparative way, to define hierarchies.
In addition, recent studies highlight episodic and rapid magma accumulation and remobilization, also immediately before super-eruptions, involving tens of km3 of magma (Druitt et al., ; Parks et al., 2012; Cooper and Kent, ); in some cases, as at Toba caldera (Sumatra), these processes may involve magma volumes up to a thousand of km3, characteristic of super-volcanoes (Vazquez and Reid, 2004). At the topmost of the scale are the Large Igneous Provinces, erupting large quantities of basaltic magma in geologically short periods, closely correlating with major changes in oceanic and atmospheric chemistry and whose origin is still poorly understood (Saunders, 2005). How may these significant amounts of magma from super-volcanoes and Large Igneous Provinces be efficiently stored in the crust? Do they follow the same emplacement processes as those of the magma feeding much smaller eruptions?
In addition to the formation and growth, it is also crucial to better understand which factors control the dynamic behavior of the magma reservoirs. This brings us to another question: which conditions must be met to have inflation of a reservoir, or magma propagation outside it? An important consequence of magma reservoir dynamics may be resurgence, or the uplift of portions of calderas up to some km. While we have many studies and models for caldera formation, our knowledge on resurgence, that is the opposite process, is still definitely limited, with few recent studies and models (Vezzoli et al., 2009; Kennedy et al., ; Merle et al., ). Certainly, the causes and conditions for resurgence need to be further investigated, and many questions may find an answer in better understanding the longer-term dynamic behavior of magma reservoirs. For possible answers on the development of magma reservoirs, we should definitely learn more from the study of exposed plutons, merging the efforts of the volcanological community with those of the community investigating intrusions and thermo-metamorphic processes (Figure 3).
Figure 3
Challenge 2: propagation and arrest of magma
Magma rises in the upper crust through dikes; dikes are also responsible for feeding most eruptions, largely independently of the composition of magma. The shallow conduit of volcanoes may be imaged as a cluster of dikes, as confirmed by recent drilling in the conduit zone of Unzen volcano, consisting of a hundreds of m wide dike zone (Sakuma et al., 2008). Dikes may reach lengths of tens of km, delivering magma and feeding eruptions for significant distances also outside volcanoes. However, dikes may often become arrested of the composition of magma. The shallow conduit of volcanoes may be imaged as a cluster of dikes, as confirmed by recent drilling in the conduit zone of Unzen volcano, consisting of a hundreds of m wide dike zone (Sakuma et al., 2008). Dikes may reach lengths of tens of km, delivering magma and feeding eruptions for significant distances also outside volcanoes. However, dikes may often become arrested and not generate any eruption (e.g., Gardine et al.,
As dikes are responsible for magma transfer within the crust and volcanic edifices, understanding the conditions for their propagation or arrest, as well as their propagation path, is one of the most important challenges, for both theoretical and applied volcanology (Figure 4). Under which conditions does a dike transfer magma to shallower levels? Why most dikes stall at depth, without feeding eruptions? Several mechanisms have been proposed to control dike propagation, including magma pressure, buoyancy, composition, and volatiles, topography and physical contrasts (rigidity, density, pre-existing discontinuities) within the host rock (e.g., Pinel and Jaupart, 2004; Aoki et al.,
Figure 4

Central portion of the 1783 Lakagigar fissure eruption, Iceland, fed by one or more regional dikes for a total length of ~25 km. Approximate scale is included for reference. Examples like this highlight the importance of dikes in transferring magma within the crust and in triggering eruptions.
Challenge 3: emplacement and outcome of shallower intrusions
When dikes stall at depth, they may form and/or feed shallow (<3 km depth) magma reservoirs, not necessarily triggering eruptions (e.g., Moran et al.,
On the one side, a higher effort should be paid in detecting shallower intrusions, enhancing the resolution of common geophysical techniques, including seismic tomography, cosmic ray muon tomography and magnetotellurics (e.g., Vanorio et al., 2005; Shinoara and Tanaka, 2012; Siniscalchi et al., 2012). On the other side, we should learn more on their causes and conditions of emplacement, as well as their likely fate (freezing vs. erupting). Petrology and geochemical signature on the P-T residence time history of these intrusions should be collected to better reconstruct the magmatic history of a volcano (e.g., Scaillet et al., 2008; Cooper and Kent,
Challenge 4: volcano unrest
All eruptions are preceded by an unrest phase, which may be highly variable from volcano to volcano and even within the same volcano (Figure 5). However, only a part of the unrest episodes culminates in an eruption (e.g., Moran et al.,
Figure 5

A general process likely responsible for volcano unrest: the emplacement of magma (sill) may induce fracturing and thus variations in the permeability of the host rock, also resulting in fluid migration and, in turn, pressure variation within a hydrothermal system. At the surface, these processes manifest themselves through seismic, deformative, and degassing deviations from the baseline.
Pre-eruptive unrest episodes often show linear behaviors, characterized by the progressive increase in the intensity of one or more unrest indicators detected through the monitoring system, as for example observed at Mount Pinatubo in 1991 (Newhall and Punongbayan, 1996). However, many unrest episodes may be characterized by a non-linear behavior, with important time variations in the intensity of the detected indicators, making any real-time interpretation extremely difficult, as for example recently observed at Rabaul or Okmok calderas (e.g., Biggs et al.,
Despite these uncertainties, a significant though dispersed and fragmented wealth of monitoring data is now available through publications, reports and websites. The collection and systematic and critical review and analysis of such information may provide important insights for identifying general behaviors, establishing patterns, thresholds and relationships and, ultimately understanding unrest processes. Important international initiatives, as WOVODAT (http://www.wovodat.org/), in collecting raw data from unresting volcanoes are trying to respond to this need and should definitely be encouraged.
Challenge 5: eruption forecasting
Forecasting is the crucial challenge of volcanology, as volcanoes are potentially affecting nearly 1/10 of the Earth population. After previous deterministic attempts, forecasting is now being made mainly using a probabilistic approach, also including Bayesian event tree models, which recognize natural variability and stochastic elements, include the full range of possible events and show most likely scenarios (Sparks, 2003; Aspinall et al.,
In general, eruption forecast appears less challenging than, say, earthquake forecast, as the approximate location and time of the event may be perceived. Indeed, in several tens of cases, impending eruptions have been successfully forecast, even at poorly monitored volcanoes, saving lives, properties and other values (e.g., McNutt,
While many unknowns will continue to accompany the unpredictability of unrest episodes, an important effort in forecasting is to identify and focus on at least the more “predictable” part. This may not be immediately recognizable, but it may become so once databases are created, merged and statistically analyzed. Available statistical tools then need to be improved and based on the understanding of how volcanoes work, rather than at simply recognizing longer-term patterns. After having been describing processes for decades, we now need to merge this information to understand processes. A crucial input for the understanding of the pre-eruptive signals required for forecasting will be demanded to advanced physical modeling (e.g., Connor et al.,
Challenge 6: erupting conditions
A crucial step within the volcano factory is reached when the magma approaches the eruptive conditions. Several studies have been investigating the conditions and processes for eruptions, including magma mixing, magma rheology, gas behavior, fragmentation, conduit controls, regional earthquakes (e.g., Alidibirov and Dingwell,
To better synthesize these interpretative differences and overcome the knowledge gaps on the processes leading to eruptions we have to improve and extend the boundary conditions of the modeling studies, especially those on fluid mechanics, and tie these with available databases from natural cases. A further and more difficult challenge derives from the fact that these conditions and factors may vary significantly and not have the same importance and priority from case to case; therefore, even though conditions and processes may be reasonably understood in specific and a posteriori ideal cases, we may still not be able to individually detect them in real-time at a volcano prone to erupt.
Challenge 7: collapsing volcanoes
Usually but not always necessarily related to eruptions are the extreme events occurring within the volcanic edifice, resulting in collapses. These may consist of vertical collapses, causing or reactivating calderas, or lateral flank collapses, with very different rates, volumes and modalities. Both vertical and lateral collapses can induce catastrophic variations in the shape of a volcanic edifice, its plumbing system and the environment. Moreover, as both types of collapses may not be necessarily associated to eruptions, they pose a hazard also during periods of apparent inactivity. Many recent studies have allowed understanding several features of these collapses.
Calderas are related to the withdrawal of magma from a reservoir at depth, during an eruption or lateral intrusion. Caldera collapse occurs under specific eruptive conditions and, in the last decades, it has occurred a few times only (Geyer and Martì,
Lateral collapses are a catastrophic expression of flank instability of volcanic edifices. Similarly to calderas, a significant amount of studies has been conducted on volcano flank instability in the last decades; these studies have highlighted many possible triggering processes, including magma emplacement, hydrothermal alteration, excess pore pressures, volcano and/or basement strength, fault activation and earthquakes. Similarly to calderas, lateral collapses are relatively infrequent. The sudden collapse of an entire sector of a volcano may have a frequency of some decades, as observed at Bezymianny (Kamchatka) in 1956, Mount St. Helens (Oregon) in 1980, and Soufriere Hills (Montserrat) in 1997 (Belousov et al.,
Therefore, calderas and flank collapses are catastrophic processes characterized by the limited knowledge of the triggering factors, which may vary or be consistent, even for a given volcano. More effort should be given in identifying, for each volcano, the fewest most likely causes of flank instability and focusing the monitoring system at their detection.
Challenge 8: environmental impact of eruptions
An erupted magma may emplace on the Earth's surface through very different mechanisms, generating for example lava flows, pyroclastic density currents, ash falls or surge deposits. The knowledge of these mechanisms is essential, in addition to understanding processes, also to assess the impact on the environment, including the impact on humans. For example, several studies have tried to constrain how the flow of a lava depends on the composition and rheology and the underlying topography, or to define the modalities of development and propagation of pyroclastic density currents, or even the dispersion and fall of tephra (e.g., Neri et al.,
The vast majority of eruptions affect the volcano surroundings (distance <101 km). However, a minor part may also affect a much larger area, even the planet. For example, the 2010 Eyiafjallajokull eruption in Iceland showed how a moderately-sized ash plume may impact areas at thousands of km of distance (Sigmundsson et al., 2010), revealing our unpreparedness to forecast the occurrence of ash plumes. Slightly larger eruptions, as Pinatubo in 1991, may inject a significant amount of sulfur-bearing gases into the stratosphere, converting them to sulfate aerosols. These may cool and/or warm the Earth's surface over a few years, affecting global climate. In these cases, for real-time detection of environmental and climatic response, we need to be able to forecast the initial distribution and transport of the emission cloud, as well as the released amount of sulfur impacting the stratosphere (Robock, 2000, 2002; Cole-Dai,
This overview has highlighted the most general and impending challenges which Frontiers in Volcanology intends to address with any type of contribution, method and scale of investigation, on Earth and any extraterrestrial body. The list presented here may appear subjective and may result too much broad or, conversely, even incomplete, so that some challenges may be removed and/or other challenges may deserve to be included. While the interests of Frontiers in Volcanology are definitely not restricted to or limited by the presented challenges, it is important to note that these involve very general processes engaging all the disciplines of modern volcanology and, as such, may be of interest for the broadest volcanological community.
These challenges should not be considered as separate entities. Rather, they should be merged in a holistic vision of volcanology, where any progress in a sector impacts other sectors. This important concept is emphasized in Figure 6A, showing a space image of Etna erupting in 2002. More than a splendid image of an eruption, this picture allows us to link our understanding of the shallow plumbing system of the volcano to the environmental impact of an eruption. As visible on the figure, three groups of vents are active. Both the summit craters and the NE Rift erupt residual degassed magma from the open summit conduit (the NE Rift is fed by the summit conduit through a laterally propagating dike); conversely, the vent on the South Rift is fed by an independent vertically propagating dike, filled with new and more primitive undegassed magma (Figure 6B; Andronico et al.,
Figure 6

Linking the environmental impact of the vents feeding an eruption to the transfer of magma within a volcano. (A) Shuttle image (property of NASA) of Mt. Etna, Italy, erupting in 2002, activating the summit craters and the NE Rift (erupting degassed magma) and a vent on the S Rift (erupting primitive undegassed magma from the more explosive ash plume). (B) Independent structural interpretation of the eruption, showing how the vent of the S Rift is fed by a dike from an eccentric reservoir external to the summit conduit; conversely, the effusive summit and the NE Rift vents are fed by the residual magma within the summit conduit (Andronico et al.,
Conflict of interest statement
The author declares that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Statements
Acknowledgments
The Author wishes to thank the two reviewers for their constructive suggestions.
Conflict of interest
The author declares that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
References
1
AcocellaV.NeriM. (2009). Dike propagation in volcanic edifices: overview and possible developments. Tectonophysics471, 67–77. 10.1016/j.tecto.2008.10.002
2
AcocellaV.PuglisiG. (2013). How to cope with volcano flank instability? Recommending prototypal procedures for Mt. Etna. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 251, 137–148. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2012.06.016
3
AiuppaA.MorettiR.FedericoC.GiudiceG.GuerrieriS.MiuzzoM.et al. (2007). Forecasting Etna eruptions by real-time observation of volcanic gas composition. Geology35, 1115–1118. 10.1130/G24149A.1
4
AlidibirovM.DingwellD. B. (1996). Magma fragmentation by rapid decompression. Nature380, 146–148. 10.1038/380146a0
5
AlliboneR.CroninS. J.CharleyD. T.NeallV. E.StewartR. B.OppenheimerC. (2012). Dental fluorosis linked to degassing of Ambrym volcano, Vanuatu: a novel exposure pathway. Environ. Geochem. Health34, 155–170. 10.1007/s10653-010-9338-2
6
AndronicoD.BrancaS.CalvariS.BurtonM.CaltabianoT.CorsaroR. A.et al. (2005). A multi-disciplinary study of the 2002-03 Etna eruption: insights into a complex plumbing system. Bull. Volcanol. 67, 314–330. 10.1007/s00445-004-0372-8
7
AokiY.TakeoM.AoyamaH.FujimatsuJ.MatsumotoS.MiyamachiH.et al. (2009). P-wave velocity structure beneath Asama Volcano, Japan, inferred from active source seismic experiment. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 187, 272–277. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.09.004
8
AspinallW. P.CarnielR.JaquetO.WooG.HincksT. (2006). Using hidden multi-state Markov modelswith multi-parameter volcanic data to provide empirical evidence for alert leel decision-support. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 153, 112–124. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2005.08.010
9
BarnettW. P.LorigL. (2007). A model for stresscontrolled pipe growth. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 159, 108–125. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2006.06.006
10
BelousovA.VoightB.BelousovaM. (2007). Directed blasts and balst-generated pyroclastic density currents: a comparison of the Bezymianny 1956, mount St Helens 1980 and Soufriere Hills, Montserrat 1997 eruptions and deposits. Bull. Volcanol. 69, 701–740. 10.1007/s00445-006-0109-y
11
BiggsJ.ZhongL.FournierT.FreymuellerJ. T. (2010). Magma flux at Okmok volcano, Alaska, from a joint inversion of continuous GPS, campaign GPS and interferometric synthetic aperture radar. J. Geophys. Res. 115, 401. 10.1029/2010JB007577
12
BrenguierF.ShapiroN. M.CampilloM.FerrazziniV.DuputelZ.CoutantO.et al. (2008). Towards forecasting volcanic eruptions using seismic noise. Nat. Geosci. 1, 126–130. 10.1038/ngeo104
13
CaricchiL.BurliniL.UlmerP.GeryaT.VassalliM.PapaleP. (2007). Non-Newtonian rheology of crystal-bearing magmas and implications for magma ascent dynamics. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 264, 402–419. 10.1016/j.epsl.2007.09.032
14
CashmanK. V. (2004). Volatile controls on magma ascent and eruption, in The State of the Planet: Frontiers and Challenges in Geophysics: Geophysical Monograph150, eds SparksR. S. J.HawkesworthC. J. (Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union), 109–124. 10.1029/150GM10
15
CashmanK. V.SparksR. S. J. (2013). How volcanoes work: a 25 year perspective. Geol. Soc. Am. Bull. 125, 664–690. 10.1130/B30720.1
16
CastroJ. M.DingwellD. B. (2009). Rapid ascent of rhyolitic magma at Chaiten volcano, Chile. Nature461, 780–784. 10.1038/nature08458
17
CayolV.DieterichJ.OkamureA. T.MikliusA. (2000). High magma storage rats before the 1983 eruption of Kilauea, Hawaii. Science288, 2343–2346. 10.1126/science.288.5475.2343
18
ChiodiniG.CaliroS.De MartinoR.AvinoR.GherardiF. (2012). Early signals of new volcanic unrest at campi Flegrei caldera? Insights from geochemical data and physical simulations. Geology40, 943–946. 10.1130/G33251.1
19
Cole-DaiJ. (2010). Volcanoes and Climate. J. Wiley & Sons. 10.1002/wcc.76
20
CollinsS. J.PyleD.MaclennanJ. (2009). Melt inclusions track pre-eruption storage and dehydration of magma at Etna. Geology37, 571–574. 10.1130/G30040A.1
21
CombsM. L.GardnerJ. E. (2001). Shallow storage conditions for the rhyolite of the 1912 eruption at Novarupta, Alaska. Geology29, 775–778. 10.1130/0091-7613(2001)029%3C0775:SSCFTR%3E2.0.CO;2
22
ConnorC. B.SparksR. S. J.MasonR. M.BonadonnaC.YoungS. R. (2003). Exploring links between physical and probabilistic models of volcanic eruptions: the Souriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, 1701. 10.1029/2003GL017384
23
CooperK. M.KentA. J. R. (2014). Rapid remobilization of magmatic crystals kept in cold storage. Nature506, 480–483. 10.1038/nature12991
24
CorsaroR. A.Di RenzoV.Di StefanoS.MiragliaL.CivettaL. (2013). Relationship between petrologic processes in the plumbing system of Mt. Etna and the dynamics of the eastern flank from 1995 to 2005. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 251, 75–89. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2012.02.010
25
CostaA.MelnikO.SparksR. S. J. (2007). Controls of conduit geometry and wallrock elasticity on lava dome eruptions. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 260, 137–151. 10.1016/j.epsl.2007.05.024
26
De SienaL.Del PezzoE.BiancoF. (2010). Seismic attenuation imaging of Campi Flegrei: evidence of gas reservoirs, hydrothermal basins and feeding system. J. Geophys. Res. 115, B09312. 10.1029/2009JB006938
27
DruittT. H.CostaF.DelouleE.DunganM.ScailletB. (2012). Decadal to monthly timescales of magma transfer and reservoir growth at a caldera volcano. Nature482, 77–80. 10.1038/nature10706
28
FaminV.MichonL. (2010). Volcano destabilization by magma injections in a detachment. Geology38, 219–222. 10.1130/G30717.1
29
FloorG. H.Roman-RossG. (2012). Selenium in volcanic environments: a review. Appl. Geochem. 27, 517–531. 10.1016/j.apgeochem.2011.11.010
30
FournierN.ChardotL. (2012). Understanding volcano hydrothermal unrest from geodetic observations: insights from numerical modeling and application to White Island volcano, New Zealand. J. Geophys. Res. 117, B11208. 10.1029/2012JB009469
31
GardineM.WestM. E.CoxT. (2011). Dike emplacement near Parícutin volcano, Mexico in 2006. Bull. Volcanol. 73, 123–132. 10.1007/s00445-010-0437-9
32
GeshiN.KusumotoS.GudmundssonA. (2010). Geometric difference between non-feeder and feeder dikes. Geology38, 195–198. 10.1130/G30350.1
33
GeyerA.MartìJ. (2008). The new worldwide collapse caldera database (CCDB): a tool for studying and understanding caldera processes. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 175, 334–354. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.03.017
34
GonnermannH. M.MangaM. (2003). Explosive volcanism may not be an inevitable consequence of magma fragmentation. Nature426, 432–435. 10.1038/nature02138
35
GravleyD. M.WilsonC. J. N.LeonardG. S.ColeJ. W. (2007). Double trouble: paired ignimbrite eruptions and collateral subsidence in the Taupo Volcanic Zone, New Zealand. Geol. Soc. Am. Bull. 119, 18–30. 10.1130/B25924.1
36
GudmundssonA. (1998). Formation and development of normal fault calderas and the initiation of large explosive eruptions. Bull. Volcanol. 60, 160–170. 10.1007/s004450050224
37
GudmundssonA. (2006). How local stresses control magma-chamber ruptures, dyke injections, and eruptions in composite volcanoes. Earth Sci. Rev. 79, 1–31. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2006.06.006
38
GudmundssonA. (2011). Rock Fractures in Geological Processes. Cambridge University Press. 10.1017/CBO9780511975684
39
GudmundssonA.KusumotoS.SimmenesT.PhilippS.LarsenB.LotveitI. F. (2012). Effects of overpressure variations on fracture apertures and fluid transport. Tectonophysics581, 220–230. 10.1016/j.tecto.2012.05.003
40
HillD. P.PollitzF.NewhallC. (2002). Earthquake-volcano interactions. Phys. Today55, 41–47. 10.1063/1.1535006
41
HillmanS. E.HorwellC. J.DensmoreA. L.DambyD. E.FubiniB.IshimineY.et al. (2012). Sakurajima volcano: a physico-chemical study of the health consequences of long-term exposure to volcanic ash. Bull. Volcanol. 74, 913–930. 10.1007/s00445-012-0575-3
42
HolnessM. B.HumphreysM. C. S. (2003). The Traigh Bhàn na Sgurra Sill, Isle of Mull: flow localization in a major magma conduit. J. Petrol. 44, 1961–1976. 10.1093/petrology/egg066
43
JohnsonR. W.ItikaraiI.PatiaH.McKeeC. O. (2010). Volcanic systems of the northeastern Gazelle Peninsula, Papua new guinea: synopsis, evaluation and a model for Rabaul volcano, in Rabaul Volcano Workshop Report, 94.
44
KavanaghJ. L.MenandT.SparksR. S. J. (2006). An experimental investigation of sill formation and propagation in layered elastic media. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 245, 799–813. 10.1016/j.epsl.2006.03.025
45
KawakamiY.HoshiH.YamaguchiY. (2007). Mechanism of caldera collapse and resurgence: observations from the northern part of the Kumano Acidic Rocks, Kii peninsula, southwest Japan. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 167, 263–281. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2007.02.003
46
KennedyB.WilcoxJ.StixJ. (2012). Caldera resurgence during magma replenishment and rejuvenation at Valles and lake City calderas. Bull. Volcanol. 74, 1833–1847. 10.1007/s00445-012-0641-x
47
LeutholdJ.MontenerO.BaumgartnerL.PutlitzB.OvtcharovaM.SchalteggerU. (2012). Time resolved construction of a bimodal laccolith (Torres del Paine, Patagonia). Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 325, 85–92. 10.1016/j.epsl.2012.01.032
48
LowensternJ. B.SmithR. B.HillD. P. (2006). Monitoring super-volcanoes: geophysical and geochemical signals at Yellowstone and other large caldera systems. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. 364, 2055–2072. 10.1098/rsta.2006.1813
49
MaccaferriF.RivaltaE.KeirD.AcocellaA. (2014). Unloading-driven off-rift distribution of volcanism in rift zones. Nat. Geosci. 7, 297–300. 10.1038/ngeo2110
50
MartìJ.GeyerA.FolchA. (2009). A Genetic Classification of Collapse Calderas Based on Field Studies, and Analogue and Theoretical Modelling. London: Geological Society of London Spec. Publ. 2.
51
MarzocchiW.SandriL.SelvaJ. (2008). BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long-and short-term eruption forecasting. Bull. Volcanol. 70, 623–632. 10.1007/s00445-007-0157-y
52
McNuttS. R. (2000). Seismic monitoring, in Encyclopedia of Volcanoes, ed SigurdssonH. (Academic Press), 1095–1120.
53
MerleO.BrothelandeE.LenatJ. F.BacheleryP.GaraebityE. (2013). A structural outline of the Yenkahe volcanic resurgent dome (Tanna Island, Vanuatu Arc, South Pacific). J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 268, 64–72. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2013.10.009
54
MichonL.MassinF.FaminV.FerrazziniV.RoultG. (2011). Basaltic calderas: collapse dynamics, edifice deformation, and variations of magma withdrawal. J. Geophys. Res. 116, B03209. 10.1029/2010JB007636
55
MoranS.NewhallC.RomanD. C. (2011). Failed magmatic eruptions: late-stage cessation of magma. Bull. Volcanol. 73, 115–122. 10.1007/s00445-010-0444-x
56
MysenB. O.RichetP. (2005). Silicate Glasses and Melts, Properties and Structure. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
57
NeriA.Esposti OngaroT.MacedonioG.GidaspowD. (2003). Multiparticle simulation of collapsing volcanic columns and pyroclastic flow. J. Geophys. Res. 108, 2202. 10.1029/2001JB000508
58
NeriM.LanzafameG. (2009). Structural features of the 2007 Stromboli eruption. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 182, 137–144. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.07.021
59
NewhallC. G.DzurisinD. (1988). Historical Unrest at Large Calderas of the World. Vancouver, WA: U.S. Geological Survey.
60
NewhallC. G.PunongbayanR. S. (1996). Fire and Mud: Eruptions and Lahars of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines. Hong Kong: University of Washington Press.
61
PapaleP. (1999). Strain-induced magma fragmentation in explosive eruptions. Nature397, 425–428. 10.1038/17109
62
ParksM. M.BiggsJ.EnglandP.MatherT. A.NomikouP.PalamartchoukK.et al. (2012). Evolution of Santorini Volcano dominated by episodic and rapid fluxed of melt from depth. Nat. Geosci. 5, 749–754. 10.1038/ngeo1562
63
PhillipsonG.SobradeloR.GottsmannJ. (2013). Global volcanic unrest in the 21st century: an analysis of the first decade. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 264, 183–196. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2013.08.004
64
PinelV.JaupartC. (2004). Likelihood of basaltic eruptions as a function of volatile content and volcanic edifice size. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 137, 201–217. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2004.05.010
65
RobockA. (2000). Volcanic eruptions and climate. Rev. Geophys. 38, 191–219. 10.1029/1998RG000054
66
RobockA. (2002). The climatic aftermath. Science295, 1242–1244. 10.1126/science.1069903
67
RocheO.NinoY.MangeneyA.BrandB.PollockN.ValentineG. A. (2013). Dynamic pore-pressure variations induce substrate erosion by pyroclastic flows. Geology41, 1107–1110. 10.1130/G34668.1
68
RomanD. C.NeubergJ.LuckettR. R. (2006). Assessing the likelihood of volcanic eruption through analysis of volcanotectonic earthquake fault-plan solutions. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 248, 244–252. 10.1016/j.epsl.2006.05.029
69
RuchJ.AcocellaV.GeshiN.NobileA.CorbiF. (2012). Kinematic analysis of vertical collapse on volcanoes using experimental models time series. J. Geophys. Res. 117, B07301. 10.1029/2012JB009229
70
RuprechtP.PlankT. (2013). Feeding andesitic eruptions with a high-speed connection from the mantle. Nature500, 68–72. 10.1038/nature12342
71
SakumaS.KajiwaraT.NakadaS.UtoK.ShimizuH. (2008). Drilling and logging results of USDP-4—Penetration into the volcanic conduit of Unzen Volcano, Japan. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 175, 1–12. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.03.039
72
SaundersA. (2005). Large igneous provinces: origin and environmental consequences. Elements1, 259–263. 10.2113/gselements.1.5.259
73
ScailletB.PichavantM. (2003). Experimental constraints on volatile abundances in arc magmas and their implications for degassing processes, in Volcanic Degassing, eds OppenheimerC.PyleD.BarclayJ. (Geological Society London Special Publications), 23–52. 10.1144/GSL.SP.2003.213.01.03
74
ScailletB.PichavantM.CioniR. (2008). Upward migration of Vesuvius magma chamber over the past 20,000 years. Nature455, 216–219. 10.1038/nature07232
75
ShinoaraH.TanakaH. K. M. (2012). Conduit magma convection of a rhyolitic magma: constraints from cosmic-ray muon tomography of Iwodake, Satsuma-Iwojima volcano, Japan. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 349, 87–97. 10.1016/j.epsl.2012.07.002
76
SigmundssonF.HreinsdottirS.HooperA.ArnadottirT.PedersenR.RobertsM. J.et al. (2010). Intrusion triggering of the 2010 Eyjafjallajokull explosive eruption. Nature468, 426–430. 10.1038/nature09558
77
SiniscalchiA.TripaldiS.NeriM.BalascoM.RomanoG.RuchJ.et al. (2012). Flank instability structure of Mt. Etna inferred by a magnetotelluric survey. J. Geophys. Res. 117, B03216. 10.1029/2011JB008657
78
SparksR. S. J. (2003). Forecasting volcanic eruptions. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 210, 1–15. 10.1016/S0012-821X(03)00124-9
79
SparksR. S. J.BiggsJ.NeubergJ. W. (2012). Monitoring volcanoes. Science335, 1310–1311. 10.1126/science.1219485
80
StixJ.KobayashiT. (2008). Magma dynamics and collapse mechanisms during four historic caldera-forming events. J. Geophys. Res. 113, B09205. 10.1029/2007JB005073
81
TaisneB.TaitS.JaupartC. (2011). Conditions for the arrest of a vertical propagating dyke. Bull. Volcanol. 73, 191–204. 10.1007/s00445-010-0440-1
82
TakadaY.FukushimaY. (2013). Volcanic subsidence triggered by the 2011 Tohoku earthquake in Japan. Nat. Geosci. 6, 637–641. 10.1038/ngeo1857
83
ThordarsonT.LarsenG. (2007). Volcanism in historical time: volcano types, eruptions styles and eruptive history. J. Geodyn. 43, 118–152. 10.1016/j.jog.2006.09.005
84
ValentineG. A.KroghK. E. C. (2006). Emplacement of shallow dikes and sills beneath a small basaltic volcanic center—the role of pre-existing structure (Paiute Ridge, southern Nevada, USA). Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 246, 217–230. 10.1016/j.epsl.2006.04.031
85
VanorioT.VirieuxJ.CapuanoP.RussoG. (2005). Three dimensional seismic tomography from P wave and S wave microearthquake travel times and rock physics characterization of the Campi Flegrei Caldera. J. Geophys. Res. 110, B03201. 10.1029/2004JB003102
86
VazquezJ. A.ReidM. R. (2004). Probing the accumulation history of the Voluminous Toba Magma. Science305, 991–994. 10.1126/science.1096994
87
VezzoliL.PrincipeC.MalfattiJ.ArrighiS.TanguyJ. C.Le GoffM. (2009). Modes and times of caldera resurgence: the <10 ka evolution of Ischia caldera, Italy, from high precision archaeomagnetic dating. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 186, 305–319. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.07.008
88
WalterT. R.AmelungF. (2007). Volcanic eruptions following M9 megathrust earthquakes: implications for the Sumatra-Andaman volcanoes. Geology35, 539–542. 10.1130/G23429A.1
89
WalterT. R.WangR.AcocellaV.NeriM.GrosserH.ZschauJ. (2009). Simultaneous magma and gas eruptions at three volcanoes in southern Italy: an earthquake trigger?Geology37, 251–254. 10.1130/G25396A
90
WebleyP. W.SteensenT.StueferM.GrellG.FreitasS.PavolonisM. (2012). Analyzing the Eyjafjallajokull 2010 eruption using satellite remote sensing, lidar and WRF-Chem dispersion and tracking model. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 117, D00U26. 10.1029/2011JD016817
91
WilsonC. J. N.CharlierB. L. A. (2009). Rapid rates of magma generation at contemporaneous magma systems, Taupo volcano, New Zealand: insights from U-Th model-age spectra in zircons. J. Petrol. 50, 875–907. 10.1093/petrology/egp023
92
WylieJ. J.VoightB.WhiteheadJ. A. (1999). Instability of magma flow from volatile-dependent viscosity. Science285, 1883–1885. 10.1126/science.285.5435.1883
Summary
Keywords
volcanoes, magma rise, magma emplacement, volcano unrest, eruption forecast
Citation
Acocella V (2014) Great challenges in volcanology: how does the volcano factory work?. Front. Earth Sci. 2:4. doi: 10.3389/feart.2014.00004
Received
26 February 2014
Accepted
20 March 2014
Published
21 April 2014
Volume
2 - 2014
Edited by
Agust Gudmundsson, Royal Holloway University of London, UK
Reviewed by
Marco Neri, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Italy; Ines Galindo Jimenez, Geological Survey of Spain, Spain
Copyright
© 2014 Acocella.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: acocella@uniroma3.it
This article was submitted to Volcanology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Earth Science.
Disclaimer
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.