Abstract
Kangerlussuaq Glacier is one of Greenland’s largest tidewater outlet glaciers, accounting for approximately 5% of all ice discharge from the Greenland ice sheet. In 2018 the Kangerlussuaq ice front reached its most retreated position since observations began in 1932. We determine the relationship between retreat and: (i) ice velocity; and (ii) surface elevation change, to assess the impact of the retreat on the glacier trunk. Between 2016 and 2018 the glacier retreated ∼5 km and brought the Kangerlussuaq ice front into a major (∼15 km long) overdeepening. Coincident with this retreat, the glacier thinned as a result of near-terminus acceleration in ice flow. The subglacial topography means that 2016–2018 terminus recession is likely to trigger a series of feedbacks between retreat, thinning, and glacier acceleration, leading to a rapid and high-magnitude increase in discharge and sea level rise contribution. Dynamic thinning may continue until the glacier reaches the upward sloping bed ∼10 km inland of its current position. Incorporating these non-linear processes into prognostic models of the ice sheet to 2100 and beyond will be critical for accurate forecasting of the ice sheet’s contribution to sea level rise.
Introduction
The Greenland ice sheet is a major source of global sea level rise and contributed 171 Gt a−1 (∼0.47 ± 0.23 mm a−1) to sea level rise between 1991 and 2015 (). Mass loss has accelerated since the mid-1990s and coincided with both elevated atmospheric temperatures (e.g., ) and warmer oceanic waters reaching marine-terminating glacier margins (e.g., ). Approximately 40% of Greenland’s mass loss since 1991 was due to increased ice discharge from marine-terminating outlet glaciers and it accounted for ∼60% of ice loss during the phase of rapid outlet glacier retreat observed between 2000 and 2005 (; ; ; ). As such, predictions of ice discharge from Greenland’s marine-terminating outlet glaciers are critical for forecasting near-future sea level rise. Despite their importance, substantial uncertainty remains over the response of Greenland’s outlet glacier to climatic and oceanic warming (e.g., ; ; ). This response is complicated by glacier-specific factors, particularly the bed and fjord geometry, which can strongly enhance/suppress glacier response to forcing (e.g., ; ).
Kangerlussuaq Glacier (68.5°N, 33.0°W; Kangerlussuaq herein), east Greenland, is one of Greenland’s largest tidewater glaciers, draining approximately 3% of the total area of the ice sheet (), and accounting for 5% of ice sheet discharge (). Following a period of sustained low-elevation thinning during the mid to late 1990s (; ), Kangerlussuaq retreated abruptly by 5 km between April 2004 and April 2005 (; ). Coincident with this retreat, the glacier accelerated from ∼7,500 m a−1 (∼20 m d−1) to ∼13,000 m a−1 (∼35 m d−1) (). Ice losses returned to pre-retreat values by the summer of 2008 (). However, these changes in speed, frontal position, and subsequent diffusive thinning () resulted in mass loss of 80 Gt of ice between September 2004 and January 2008; a three-fold increase on pre-retreat rates of ice loss (). Following the 2005 retreat, Kangerlussuaq decelerated and its calving front re-advanced by ∼200 ± 30 m a−1 between 2008 and 2016 (; ; ). However, continued thinning caused the grounding line to retreat until 2011, when it stabilized, likely because of retreat into shallower water (). Since 2011, dynamic thinning rates have reduced and the final ∼5 km of the terminus are at or close to flotation (). Between 2000 and 2012, Kangerlussuaq accounted for ∼14% (∼105 Gt) of the total cumulative discharge anomaly of the entire ice sheet (∼750 Gt; ), second only to Jakobshavn Isbræ (Sermeq Kujalleq; ∼21% or 158 Gt).
The most recent published records of Kangerlussuaq’s variations in frontal-position and speed end by 2016 (; ; ; ). Since then, Kangerlussuaq has entered a new phase of rapid retreat. Here we present an intra-annual time-series of ice frontal position between March 2013 and September 2018 from Landsat 8 satellite imagery. We couple this time-series of ice frontal positions with ice velocity and surface elevation datasets to evaluate the dynamic response of Kangerlussuaq to recent changes in terminus position. Finally, we discuss local topographic setting as a control on recent and future glacier behavior.
Materials and Methods
Glacier Frontal Position
Terminus positions of Kangerlussuaq were manually digitized from all available Level 1T pansharpened (15 m) Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) satellite imagery between 2013 and 2018 using the Google Earth Digitisation Tool (GEEDiT) (). We visualized (within a web-browser) every Landsat 8 image available between 20 March 2013 (first available Landsat 8 image for Kangerlussuaq) and 03 September 2018 (end of study period), and manually digitized the glacier termini for each image where an ice front was visible. The presence of year round mélange precluded the mapping of part or all of the glacier terminus for some images. In such scenarios, only the contiguous portion of the terminus that could be differentiated from the mélange was mapped. Due to overlap in satellite tracks, where multiple images were available for the same day we measured the ice front using the first image acquired unless there was any discernible change. Mapped glacier termini were subsequently exported from GEEDiT in vector format as GeoJSON files and were converted to ESRI shapefiles using the Margin change Quantification Tool (MaQiT) (). As each terminus trace has metadata automatically appended within GEEDiT, including the unique path identifier (Supplementary Table S1 and Data Set S1 in the Supplementary Material), it is possible to directly and easily identify the original image used in the mapping; for example using GEEDiT Reviewer ().
Changes in frontal position were assessed using the curvilinear box method in MaQiT (). This method is an extension of the commonly used ‘box method’ (e.g., ), and used a reference box of fixed width (3 km here) and upstream extent spanning the center line that intersects with contiguously mapped glacier termini. Any termini that did not fully cover the width of the reference box were excluded from the analysis. Here we defined the center line as the line representing the midpoint between the 0 m elevation contour from the BedMachine v3 dataset (). The center line was extracted by tracing the line following the maximum Euclidean distance between the 0 m contour, from its furthest point up-glacier to an arbitrary point beyond the glacier’s maximum extent (e.g., ; Figure 1). Mean retreat was subsequently calculated by normalizing the change in reference box area by its width. This method therefore captured spatially asymmetric retreat and advance of a calving margin (). Based on the above method, from a possible 199 images, we obtained 124 terminus traces between 2013 and 2018 (Supplementary Figure S1 in the Supplementary Material). Cloud and/or mélange obscured imagery precluded a constant temporal sampling frequency. However, an average of 20 (σ = 8) terminus traces were obtained per year, with an average sampling frequency of 15 days (σ = 32). We coupled these newly derived terminus positions with the datasets of (annual 1932, 1966, 1972, 1981, 1985, 1991, and 1999 – 2012) and (seasonal 2000 – 2010) to provide historical (back to 1932) context to the ice front evolution of Kangerlussuaq (Figure 1).
FIGURE 1
Uncertainty in ice front positions is attributed to error in both geolocational accuracy of imagery and precision in manual digitisation of the ice fronts (e.g.,
Ice Velocity
Datasets on ice velocity, basal topography and surface elevation change were compiled from publicly available sources (Supplementary Table S2). Ice surface velocities for Kangerlussuaq were acquired from the MEaSUREs program (
Surface Elevation Change
The rate of surface elevation change was determined using Operation IceBridge ATM L4 Surface Elevation Rate of Change data (
Basal Topography
Basal topography was acquired from the Operation IceBridge BedMachine v3 dataset (
Results
Between 2013 and 2016 Kangerlussuaq’s frontal position followed a typical seasonal progression: before our first available position in late February the ice front advanced with limited calving, reaching its most advanced position toward the middle of the year (∼July; Figure 2, 3A). After this, the ice front retreated, often via a series of large calving episodes, and retreat continued until at least our last available frontal position in October/November (Figure 2, 3A). During each winter (December to February), the ice front would re-advance so that the early spring terminus position was seaward of the previous autumn position. This 2–3 km seasonal oscillation has been typical of Kangerlussuaq since at least 1985 (Figure 3A; e.g.,
FIGURE 2

Terminus position of Kangerlussuaq relative to the most retreated ice front (16 May 2018) plotted by day of the year from 2013 to 2018.
FIGURE 3

Time series of terminus, velocity and surface elevation change for Kangerlussuaq. (A) Change in terminus position between 2000 and 2018, plotted relative to the most retreated ice front (16 May 2018). (B) Plots of velocity for selected points along the center line as shown in Figure 1. Points were coded such that the numerical designation (e.g., V5) indicates the distance in kilometers from the most retreated ice front (16 May 2018). (C) Surface elevation change relative to 2001 for locations marked by the white star (∼10 km from the most retreated ice front) and red star (∼0.5 km from the most retreated ice front) in Figure 5.
Our data demonstrate that Kangerlussuaq decelerated between 2011 and 2016, with peak summer velocity reducing by ∼1,500 m a−1 from ∼10,000 m a−1 in 2011 to ∼8,500 m a−1 in 2016. The glacier then accelerated throughout 2017 and 2018, such that early spring velocities in 2017 (∼8,500 m a−1) equalled the previous year’s summer velocities, reaching a peak velocity of ∼10,500 m a−1 in May 2018 (Figure 3B, 4). This near-terminus (V0.5; Figure 1, 3B) peak velocity was the largest velocity recorded during the time series (Figure 3B). Summer velocity in 2018 (∼10,500 m a−1) was ∼2,500 m a−1 above the same period in 2016 (∼8,000 m a−1; Figure 3B, 4), representing a ∼30% increase. This velocity increase is far greater than annual velocity cycles of the preceding years (∼1,000 m; Figure 3B). Changes in velocity were apparent at least 20 km inland of the terminus but were of greatest amplitude nearer to the ice front (Figure 3B, 4).
FIGURE 4

InSAR derived down-glacier velocity profiles for Kangerlussuaq between 2009 and 2018. (a) Mean glacier velocity between 2009 and 2018. (b) Contour plot of down-glacier velocity profile for center line shown in (a). For visualization purposes, and to obtain a more complete velocity record that accounts for irregular sampling intervals, velocity was linearly interpolated in time if the observation intervals are shorter than 66 days (i.e., six repeat pass cycles). Background image is Landsat 8 scene from 07 July 2017 (path 230 and row 012).
Changes in elevation vary during the observation period (Figure 3C, 5, 6). For our inland location (ATM10; white star in Figure 5), following thinning of 7 m between 2001 and 2003, the surface then entered a period of major thinning between 2003 and 2007 where it thinned by more than 100 m (Figure 3C, 5). More moderate thinning of 12 m occurred between 2007 and 2010, followed by a second phase of more intensive thinning of 30 m between 2010 and 2013 (Figure 3C, 5). The general pattern of thinning changed between 2013 and 2016, as thickening of 7 m was observed. Following this punctuation, the surface once again entered a period of thinning between 2016 and 2017 (Figure 3C, 5, 6). There are fewer observations near the terminus (ATM0.5; red star in Figure 5), but elevation changes broadly follow the inland pattern, with a period of major thinning between 2003 and 2012, followed by smaller magnitude thickening and thinning between 2012 and 2017 (Figure 3C, 5, 6). No data is available for 2018 at either location (Figure 5, 6).
FIGURE 5

Surface elevation change for Kangerlussuaq relative to 2001 baseline from Operation IceBridge ATM data. Panels relate to surface elevation change for the time periods 2001–2002 (A), 2001–2003 (B), 2001–2005 (C), 2001–2006 (D), 2001–2007 (E), 2001–2008 (F), 2001–2010 (G), 2001–2011 (H), 2001–2012 (I), 2001–2013 (J), 2001–2014 (K), 2001–2015 (L), 2001–2016 (M), 2001–2017 (N), and 2001–2018 (O). The most retreated terminus position for the given time period is demarcated in black. Background image is Landsat 8 scene from 05 August 2016 (path 230 and row 012).
FIGURE 6

Annual surface elevation change for Kangerlussuaq between 2001 and 2018 from Operation IceBridge ATM data. Panels relate to surface elevation change for the time periods 2001–2002 (A), 2002–2003 (B) 2005–2006 (C), 2007–2008 (D), 2010–2011 (E), 2011–2012 (F), 2012–2013 (G), 2013–2014 (H), 2014–2015 (I), 2015–2016 (J), 2016–2017 (K), and 2017–2018 (L). The most retreated terminus position for the given time period is demarcated in black. Background image as in Figure 5.
Discussion
Our observations demonstrate that between 2016 and 2017 Kangerlussuaq’s dynamics changed substantially (Figure 2, 3). Following a period of terminus advance between summer 2011 and summer 2016, Kangerlussuaq’s ice front rapidly retreated by 5 km between winter 2016 and spring 2018 (Figure 2, 3A). Although comparable rates of retreat have occurred at least twice since 1932 (
Given the influence of basal topography on the rate and extent of glacier retreat (e.g.,
FIGURE 7

Bed and surface profiles along the center line of Kangerlussuaq. (A) Bed elevation from BedMachine v3 (
In both scenarios Kangerlussuaq’s ice front is likely primed for further retreat to the head of this trough (
Theoretically, these feedbacks will only stop once the terminus reaches an area of horizontal or forward-sloping bed (
Variations in ice discharge from Kangerlussuaq have substantial implications for total ice sheet mass loss (e.g.,
Furthermore, these recent changes in Kangerlussuaq’s dynamics are likely to have a number of implications for regional and ice sheet-wide mass loss patterns. At the basin scale, Kangerlussuaq dominates mass loss from the eastern sector of the ice sheet (basin 3 of
Conclusion
We have shown that since 2017, Kangerlussuaq has entered a new phase of rapid retreat and acceleration, the second time this has occurred within the last two decades, and its ice front is now at its most retreated position since at least the early 20th-century. This retreat has left Kangerlussuaq’s ice front in a major (∼15 km long) overdeepening. Coincident with retreat, Kangerlussuaq accelerated and thinned near the terminus, and is likely to result in substantial dynamic draw down and loss of ice to the oceans. Glacier geometry strongly modulates Kangerlussuaq’s behavior. Given the proximity of the ice front to further reverse bed slope, further retreat would very likely result in a ∼10 km retreat to the head of this trough. Due to these uncertainties, high temporal resolution monitoring of geometry, frontal position and velocity change, coupled with accurate bed topography, will be critical for accurately predicting and quantifying future patterns of ice loss at Kangerlussuaq. Given Kangerlussuaq’s previous impacts on both the magnitude and pattern of ice sheet wide mass loss, we predict that its new phase of retreat, acceleration and thinning will markedly enhance the south-east region’s contribution to increasing discharge from the ice sheet. More broadly, accurate forecasting of the ice sheet’s contribution to sea level rise will require a deeper understanding of, and responses to, these non-linear ice dynamic processes.
Statements
Author contributions
SB, JC, and NR designed the study. JL provided the code for GEEDiT and MaQiT. SB conducted all data analysis and led the writing of the manuscript. JC, NR, and JL gave conceptual and technical advice, and edited the manuscript.
Funding
SB, JC, and NR gratefully acknowledge support from Newcastle University through its Research Excellence Academy funding scheme, which supported SB’s post-doctoral position.
Acknowledgments
We acknowledge a number of freely available datasets used in this study. We are grateful to
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Supplementary material
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2019.00123/full#supplementary-material
Footnotes
1.^https://nsidc.org/data/NSIDC-0481
2.^https://nsidc.org/data/IDHDT4
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Summary
Keywords
Greenland ice sheet, marine-terminating glaciers, basal topography, ice discharge, mass balance, glacier retreat, sea level rise, remote sensing
Citation
Brough S, Carr JR, Ross N and Lea JM (2019) Exceptional Retreat of Kangerlussuaq Glacier, East Greenland, Between 2016 and 2018. Front. Earth Sci. 7:123. doi: 10.3389/feart.2019.00123
Received
22 December 2018
Accepted
08 May 2019
Published
31 May 2019
Volume
7 - 2019
Edited by
Shin Sugiyama, Hokkaido University, Japan
Reviewed by
Johannes Jakob Fürst, Friedrich–Alexander University Erlangen–Nürnberg, Germany; David Loibl, Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany
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Copyright
© 2019 Brough, Carr, Ross and Lea.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Stephen Brough, stephen.brough@ncl.ac.uk
This article was submitted to Cryospheric Sciences, a section of the journal Frontiers in Earth Science
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