Abstract
The role of short- to medium-term geomorphic variation is analyzed in two Italian mixed sand and gravel beaches to better understand how it could affect vulnerability assessments of oil spill events. The study sites, Portonovo and Sirolo, are in one of the most congested areas for oil transportation in the Adriatic Sea (Ancona port). A “snapshot” situation populated with field data collected in April 2015 is compared to a “changing” situation built with previous field datasets (topographic surveys and surface sediment samplings) available for the two beaches. According to the ESI guidelines established by the , both Portonovo and Sirolo can be ranked as ESI 5 or 6A in most of the cases. Sediment size resulted in the most decisive factor for the ESI assessment. As consequence of the bimodal direction of storms, the high geomorphic variability on the two sites is mainly related to storm berms which lead to rapid burial processes on both beaches. In oil spill circumstances, burial is considered the most alarming factor, especially on microtidal mixed beaches that develop storm berms so high and close to the shoreline. A quantification of the maximum potential depth reachable by the oil in the beach body is therefore needed for the most dynamic beaches; this could be achieved with repeated field measurements to be performed in the period between two consecutive ESI updates (5–7 years) and the addition of an appendix in the ESI maps dealing with the geomorphic characteristics of the beach. The significance of a changing ESI rank is that the authorities in charge of responding to the oil spill could be improperly prepared for the conditions that exist at a spill site if the geomorphology has changed from when it was first given an ESI rank.
Introduction
Despite the increasing exploitation of renewable energies, oil is currently one of the most adopted energy sources in the world (). Its transportation is still necessary by tankers across the sea and its extraction by means of offshore platforms is quite common, creating the potential for oil spills whether offshore or toward the coasts. The coastal value from ecological, socioeconomic, and cultural points of view is threatened by several pollution sources, and among them oil represents one of the most harmful (). Thanks to the implementation of satellite and SAR images, oil spill monitoring has recently received more attention from the scientific community (; ; ; ). Improvements in remote sensing have allowed better identification of oil in water environments, but the many possible background interferences and the absence of ad hoc sensors to detect oil in the water still represent limitations (). When an oil spill reaches the coast, several factors dealing with the physical nature and the hydrodynamics of the site can signal the persistence of oil in the coastal environment. The first attempts of classification for oil spill vulnerability were proposed by and . Those efforts were improved through the years () and finally merged into the most comprehensive tool known so far to asses coastal vulnerability to oil spill, which is the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) established by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (). The aim of the ESI guidelines is to generate vulnerability maps for water environments potentially affected by oil spill events. conceptually defined the coastal vulnerability to oil spill as the combination of (1) shoreline type (substrate, sand grain size, tidal range), (2) exposure to wave and tidal energy, (3) the biological sensitivity index (), (4) the analysis of oil persistence on the shoreline, (5) crisis management, and (6) the value of business activities affected by the oil spill. In the European context there are no tools like ESI maps, but some studies have been led to propose an index for marine-spill risk along the entire European coastline (). At the scale of the Adriatic Sea, the SHAPE project built an atlas as a tool for storing, visualizing and managing data useful to implement the Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) and Maritime Spatial Planning (MSP) policies, among which the oil spill vulnerability assessment is also present1. An oil spill forecasting system was set up for seven specific oil platforms in the Italian seas by , including three sites in the Adriatic Sea. In the Adriatic Sea there is also the oil platform closest to the coast (Sarago Mare platform), which is also 30 km SE from the study area of the present paper. Coastal hazard assessments were modeled by for some Italian oil platforms, and the largest hazard value resulted from the Sarago Mare platform. According to , Italy occupies the fourth place in Europe for oil spill vulnerability, even though the Ancona area (namely the study site of this paper) turned out to be quite low. As stated by , the priority in the case of an oil spill affecting a coastal environment is to stop the dispersion of pollutants in the beach and through the adjacent water column. According to , an effective response to an oil spill at sea must include a well planned and executed post-incident assessment of environmental contamination and damage. For all these reasons it is crucial to understand and recognize the morpho-sedimentary dynamics of beaches. The vulnerability assessment should provide guidelines to help the local authorities in taking the proper decision to contrast the oil spill consequences (). As stated by , beaches cannot be simply considered from a statistical point of view, and coastal morphodynamics is an important factor to take into account in the vulnerability assessment for oil spill events. The crucial role of field measurements for evaluating ESI was already recognized by , as they helped to decrease observational error when only remote sensing data are used. According to , to minimize the impact of oil spill on beaches it is crucial to understand the modal state of the beach and its morphodynamics variability through time; the authors also highlight the importance of the beach limits (lateral and the cross-shore), which confine the water circulation and the oil transport on the beach. The ESI scale of still represent an impressive and comprehensive tool to assess the susceptibility to spilled oil along coastal habitats, and it represents something that still must be reproduced at a European or worldwide context. Nevertheless, an improvement on the “shoreline type” classification is possible to better adopt ESI on a more local scale and in coastal environments amply different from oceanic coasts.
The aim of this paper is to adopt the ESI guidelines of for two mixed sand and gravel beaches in the microtidal environment of the Adriatic Sea (Italy). Comparing a one-time (“snapshot”) situation with sequential field measurements from the same sites (“changing” situation), we want to demonstrate the crucial role of rapid geomorphic and surface sediment changes in the vulnerability assessment of mixed beaches for oil spill events. Substantial changes within relatively short time frames can take place in mixed sand and gravel beaches, therefore they may require different consideration in the preparedness and response to oil spill events.
Study Area
The study area is represented by two mixed sand and gravel beaches located on the eastern side of Conero Headland, which represents a rare case of high coast for the flat and sandy Italian side of the Adriatic Sea. Typical wave directions recorded by the Ancona offshore wave buoy (Figure 1A) between 1999 and 2006 are from SE (20%) and NE (16%) which also correspond to the main directions of storms (SE driven by “Scirocco” wind and NE driven by “Bora” wind). The significant wave height is usually between 0.25 and 2 m (80% of the time), less than 0.25 m for the 10% and higher than 2 m for the last 10% (; Figure 1B). The littoral transport is directed northward given the dominant influence of easterly winds (; ). The first site is Portonovo, a 500 m long and 20–50 m wide beach, orientated NW–SE. The beach is limited on both longshore sides by historical buildings protected at their bases by boulder-mound revetments (Figure 1C). The southern portion of the beach is slightly embayed and wider, whereas the central sector is the narrowest since the backshore is limited by a seawall protecting the local restaurants. The northern side is limited landward by a natural cliff made of limestone and marls, which also represents the only source of sediments for the beach (). This cliff, locally reaching 12 m in elevation, is actually material that has fallen from Conero Headland in the Middle Ages (1249 circa; ; Figure 1C). The grain size of beach sediment ranges from medium sand to cobbles, with a prevalent fraction of pebbles. Between 2006 and 2010, local authorities injected circa 18500 m3 of nourishment material made of alluvial sediments (D50 = 10–50 mm, limestone) to prevent beach erosion. The framework involved all the beaches of Portonovo, and the exact quantity deployed on the study site is unknown even though most of the nourishment material was deployed outside this sector, namely in the western part of the town (personal communication by local authorities, i.e., Regione Marche). The gravel fraction usually occupies the swash zone, with granules and fine pebbles normally found on the fair-weather berm and in the swash zone and cobbles and boulders usually found on the step zone. The beachface typically slopes at 0.2 (11°), whereas the seabed seaward of the step is approximately 0.01 (0.5°), as typically on the northern part of Adriatic seabed (). According to the classification of gravel beaches, Portonovo is a mixed sand and gravel beach (MSG) since a complete intermixing of sandy and gravelly sediments occurs (Figure 1D). The second study site is Sirolo (San Michele-Sassi Neri beach), which is located 5 km south from Portonovo. Here the beach is 1.2 km long and 30–40 m wide: it can be considered a natural embayed pocket beach since the cliff of Conero Headland confines the beach both alongshore and landward. The southernmost edge of the beach is also limited by hard structures (Figure 1E). The beach is N–S orientated, with the beachface typically sloping at 0.16 (9°) whereas the seabed seaward of the step is approximately 0.01 (0.5°; ). As in Portonovo, the only sediment source for Sirolo is represented by the limestone cliff behind the beach: small rockfalls occur during major storms or after heavy rainfall. Gravel nourishment was also undertaken in Sirolo by local authorities: between 2009 and 2011, 156000 m3 of alluvial material (D50 = 6–12 mm, limestone) were deposited on the beachface to counter coastal erosion (). According to the classification, Sirolo is a mixed sand and gravel beach (MSG). Like in Portonovo, here the beach surface looks extremely heterogeneous due to the intermixing of sand and gravel (Figure 1F). The swash zone is populated by granules and fine pebbles. The two study sites are in a semidiurnal tidal regime with the maximum excursion at spring tide of 0.47 m and a maximum record of 0.58 m ().
FIGURE 1
Materials and Methods
In order to highlight the role of geomorphic variability in estimating the ESI for oil spill vulnerability of Portonovo and Sirolo beaches, a “snapshot” situation, obtained from direct field measurements (topographic survey and surface sediment sampling) performed in April 2015, was compared with a series of previous field datasets from the same study sites which represented a “changing” situation.
Environmental Sensitivity Index Guidelines for Oil Spill Vulnerability
In 2002, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) established the ESI guidelines in order to create vulnerability maps of the United States in the case of oil spill events (
TABLE 1
| ESI rank | Estuarine environment |
| 1A | Exposed rocky shores |
| 1B | Exposed, solid manmade structures |
| 1C | Exposed rocky cliffs with boulder talus base |
| 2A | Exposed wave-cut platforms in bedrock, mud, or clay |
| 2B | Exposed scarps and steep slopes in clay |
| 3A | Fine- to medium-grained sand beaches |
| 3B | Scarps and steep slopes in sand |
| 3C | Tundra cliffs |
| 4 | Coarse-grained sand beaches |
| 5 | Mixed sand and gravel beaches |
| 6A | Gravel beaches (granules and pebbles) |
| 6B | Riprap, Gravel Beaches (cobbles and boulders) |
| 6C | Riprap |
| 7 | Exposed tidal flats |
| 8A | Sheltered scarps in bedrock, mud, or clay; Sheltered rocky shores (impermeable) |
| 8B | Sheltered, solid man-made structures; Sheltered rocky shores (permeable) |
| 8C | Sheltered riprap |
| 8D | Sheltered rocky rubble shores |
| 8E | Peat shorelines |
| 9A | Sheltered tidal flats |
| 9B | Vegetated low banks |
| 9C | Hypersaline tidal flats |
| 10A | Salt- and brackish-water marshes |
| 10B | Freshwater marshes |
| 10C | Swamps |
| 10D | Scrub-shrub wetlands; Mangroves |
| 10E | Inundated low-lying tundra |
Environmental Sensitivity Index shoreline classification for vulnerability assessment of oil spill events (
Geomorphic Situation of April 2015 (Snapshot Situation)
To assess the oil spill vulnerability of the two beaches according to ESI guidelines (
Geomorphic Variability From Previous Data (Changing Situation)
The analysis of the short- to medium-term changing situation was undertaken thanks to previous datasets on both beaches. At Portonovo beach, topographic data, gathered following the same profile network used in April 2015, were available from March 2012 to February 2014 (approximately 23 months). Surface sediment samples were also available from March 2012 to April 2013 (approximately 13 months) from the same sampling grid of April 2015 (zone 1 and 2 of Portonovo beach, Figure 1C). To properly estimate the ESI rank of Portonovo, only the dates when both topographic and grain size data were available have been considered. In Sirolo, topographic data were available from March 2012 to October 2012 (approximately 8 months) recorded on the same profile network used in April 2015. No sediment samples were available apart from April 2015 in this site, so ESI estimation from previous datasets has been done only considering slope data. Both beaches were divided in zones (Figures 1C,E) according to recurrent morpho-sedimentary features observed from previous data. The subdivision will be useful to test and discuss if temporal morpho-sedimentary changes in those zones may vary the vulnerability rank. A more detailed use of ESI both in time and space can represent a chance to improve ESI guidelines from a geomorphic point of view. Topographic measurements, sediment samplings and grain size analyses were performed with the same methodology used for the dataset of April 2015 which is described in the previous paragraph.
Results
ESI Shoreline Classification of April 2015 (Snapshot Situation)
In April 2015, Portonovo beach had an average slope in the intertidal zone of 13° (0.23), hence the whole beach could be alternatively considered as rank 5 or 6A according to the
TABLE 2
| Sediment | Slope (intertidal zone) | ||||||||
| Vulnerability (NOAA 2002) | Vulnerability (NOAA 2002) | ||||||||
| Field data | Rank 5 | Rank 6A | Field data | Rank 5 | Rank 6A | ||||
| Ave. Mz (mm) | Ave. σ1 (phi) | S/G ratio | ≥20% gravel | 100% gravel | Ave. β (°) | 8° < β < 15° | 10° < β < 20° | ||
| Portonovo April 10, 2015 | Zone 1 | 10.33 | 1.13 | 0.33 | x | 15 | x | x | |
| Zone 2 | 12.80 | 1.05 | 0.11 | x | 13 | x | x | ||
| Zone 3 | NA | 16 | x | ||||||
| Zone 4 | NA | 10 | x | x | |||||
| Sirolo April 11, 2015 | Zone 1 | 10.20 | 1.30 | 0.00 | x | 9 | x | ||
| Zone 2 | 3.74 | 1.12 | 0.62 | x | 10 | x | x | ||
| Zone 3 | 4.42 | 1.23 | 1.00 | x | 12 | x | x | ||
The
ESI Shoreline Classification From Previous Data (Changing Situation)
According to previous sediment analyses (six samplings over 13 months), Portonovo beach can always be classified as rank 5 (mixed beaches), except for one case relating to zone 1 (the southernmost) in April 2013 (Table 3) when the area was gravelly (rank 6A, gravel beaches made by granules and pebbles). According to previous slope data of the intertidal zone (six surveys over 13 months), Portonovo beach can be classified alternatively as rank 5 or 6A in 50% of cases (Table 3). In 15% of cases, the intertidal beach slope is so high that the vulnerability rank is 6A (gravel beaches – granules and pebbles) whereas in the remaining 35% of cases the beach is ranked as 5 (mixed beaches; Table 3). In Sirolo, where only slope data were available, the beach showed a wider range of vulnerability levels (Table 4). In two surveys (March and October 2012) the central part of the beach is alternatively classifiable as rank 5 or 6A, whereas the southernmost area (zone 3) can be classified as rank 4 (coarse-grained sand beaches) and the northernmost area (zone 1) can be ranked as rank 1C (exposed rocky cliffs with boulder talus base; Table 4). In April 2012 the beach can be basically classified as rank 5 or 6A (Table 4).
TABLE 3
| Sediment | Slope (intertidal zone) | ||||||||
| Vulnerability (NOAA 2002) | Vulnerability (NOAA 2002) | ||||||||
| Field data | Rank 5 | Rank 6A | Field data | Rank 5 | Rank 6A | ||||
| Ave. Mz (mm) | Ave. σ1 (phi) | S/G ratio | ≥20% gravel | 100% gravel | Ave. β (°) | 8° < β < 15° | 10° < β < 20° | ||
| (01) March 28, 2012 | Zone 1 | 5.43 | 1.06 | 0.30 | x | 10 | x | x | |
| Zone 2 | 10.89 | 1.15 | 0.23 | x | 15 | x | x | ||
| Zone 3 | NA | ||||||||
| Zone 4 | NA | ||||||||
| (02) April 18, 2012 | Zone 1 | 6.65 | 1.03 | 0.45 | x | 18 | x | ||
| Zone 2 | 4.88 | 0.89 | 0.45 | x | 10 | x | x | ||
| Zone 3 | NA | ||||||||
| Zone 4 | NA | ||||||||
| (03) May 28, 2012 | Zone 1 | 6.60 | 0.82 | 0.59 | x | 14 | x | x | |
| Zone 2 | 11.18 | 0.83 | 0.27 | x | 8 | x | |||
| Zone 3 | NA | 12 | x | x | |||||
| Zone 4 | NA | 12 | x | x | |||||
| (04) October 2, 2012 | Zone 1 | 8.58 | 0.88 | 0.12 | x | 9 | x | ||
| Zone 2 | 5 | 1.01 | 0.54 | x | 8 | x | |||
| Zone 3 | NA | 16 | x | ||||||
| Zone 4 | NA | 19 | x | ||||||
| (05) December 20, 2012 | Zone 1 | 9.59 | 0.75 | 0.12 | x | 11 | x | x | |
| Zone 2 | 5.76 | 1.13 | 0.49 | x | 9 | x | |||
| Zone 3 | NA | 8 | x | ||||||
| Zone 4 | NA | 8 | x | ||||||
| (06) April 22, 2013 | Zone 1 | 27.24 | 0.71 | 0.00 | x | 15 | x | x | |
| Zone 2 | 6.19 | 1.25 | 0.32 | x | 9 | x | |||
| Zone 3 | NA | 11 | x | x | |||||
| Zone 4 | NA | 15 | x | x | |||||
The
TABLE 4
| Slope (intertidal zone) | ||||||
| Field data | Vulnerability (NOAA 2002) | |||||
| Rank 4 | Rank 5 | Rank 6A | Rank 1C | |||
| Ave. β (°) | 5° < β < 15° | 8° < β < 15° | 10° < β < 20° | β < 30° | ||
| (01) March 31, 2012 | Zone 1 | 23 | x | |||
| Zone 2 | 15 | x | x | |||
| Zone 3 | 7 | x | ||||
| (02) April 19, 2012 | Zone 1 | 10 | x | x | ||
| Zone 2 | 9 | x | ||||
| Zone 3 | 11 | x | x | |||
| (03) October 6, 2012 | Zone 1 | 22 | x | |||
| Zone 2 | 11 | x | x | |||
| Zone 3 | 6 | x | ||||
The
Discussion
Environmental Sensitivity Index guidelines by
FIGURE 2

(A1,2) Comparison of the same beach portion of Ruhnu Island (Estonia) after 6 years (modified from
The most important information in the case of an oil spill event is the burial and penetration of oil in the beach body.
TABLE 5
| Rank 1 | Rank 4 | Rank 5 | Rank 6 | |
| Oil penetration | 0 (impermeable substrate) | 0.25 | 0.50 | 1 |
| Sediment mobility (mixing depth) | – | 0.20 | High during storms | High during storms |
| Burial/Erosion | – | Rapid during a single tidal cycle | Rapid during storms | Rapid during storms |
Vertical extents of oil penetration, sediment mobility, and burial (or erosion) of the different vulnerability levels according to ESI guidelines by
Only the levels ascribable to Portonovo and Sirolo are shown. Values are given in meters.
Given its predominant gravelly fraction, Portonovo is constantly affected by rapid burial (Figures 2B1,2), which can be led not only by severe storms as already documented by
FIGURE 3

View of the same beach portion of Portonovo (zone 4) after three different storms coming from the SE: (A) zone subdivision and focus on zone 4; (B) beach topography of November 2012 compared to the previous data available and (C) photo of the beach surface of November 2012; (D) beach topography of March 2013 compared to the previous data available and (E) photo of the beach surface of March 2013; (F) beach topography of February 2014 compared to the previous data available and (G) photo of the beach surface of February 2014.
FIGURE 4

Erosive scarps (on the left) and storm berms (on the right) from the edge zones of Portonovo beach after storm events from SE direction.
FIGURE 5

Profile variation at the edge zones of Sirolo beach between March and October 2012: (A) zone subdivision and profile location; (B) profile variation in zone 3; (C) profile variation in zone 1. Profiles have been chosen according to the larger topographic variation visible.
FIGURE 6

Wave dataset from March 2012 to February 2014. The topographic surveys and sampling are also marked for both beaches.
TABLE 6
| Max burial due to storm berms | Mixing depth | Ascribable ESI ranks (NOAA 2002) | Max potential oil depth | ||||
| Oil penetration according to beach sediment (Rank 1) | Oil penetration according to beach sediment (Rank 4) | Oil penetration according to beach sediment (Rank 5) | Oil penetration according to beach sediment (Rank 6) | ||||
| Portonovo | 3 | 0.30 | – | – | 0.50 | 1 | 3.80–4.30 |
| Sirolo | 0.70 | 0.15 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 1 | 1.10–1.85 |
Estimation of the max potential depth that oil can reach in the case of an oil spill event in Portonovo and Sirolo.
Values are given in meters.
Hence, in the worst-case scenario, represented by the deposition of oil on the beach immediately before a storm event (or a cluster of storms), the three factors that can increase the maximum depth reachable by the oil are: (i) the maximum burial due to storm berm formation (Figure 3); (ii) the typically large mixing depth, and (iii) the expected oil penetration related to the sediment characteristics of the beach at the oil deposition point (according to
Comparable burial rates were recorded by
Mixed sand and gravel beaches in microtidal environments which experience huge variability like Portonovo and Sirolo need more attention since the amount of sediment that can bury the oil is more significant due to the formation of storm berms right behind the narrow intertidal zone. After the Deepwater Horizon spill, which was the largest marine oil spill in United States waters affecting hundreds of kilometers of shorelines (
Recommendations on How Incorporate the Dynamic Nature of the Beach Environment in the ESI Assessment
As demonstrated by this paper, impressive vertical variations of the beach surface together with sediment size changes can be experienced on mixed beaches in both limited time and space. This natural process, primarily induced by storms, can largely affect the cleaning operations of an oiled beach and has in the generation of storm berms the most dangerous factor. As already accomplished for the biological aspect of the ESI assessment, where the appendix entitled “Biological resources” lists in detail the monthly occurrence and the period of nesting, eggs, pupping, etc., of each species (
Conclusion
Due to their large variety of grain sizes and the high dynamicity of their landforms, the opportunity to better assess the oil spill vulnerability of coastal environments from a geomorphic point of view could only arise from mixed sand and gravel beaches.
Both Portonovo and Sirolo can be classified as ESI 5 (mixed sand and gravel beaches) or 6A (gravel beaches), with Sirolo equally classifiable among the two ESIs for most of the time and Portonovo with a prevalent trend toward ESI 5, thanks to the more exhaustive sediment dataset from previous field measurements. Grain size is the most determinant factor in assessing the oil spill vulnerability according to ESI guidelines when both slope and sediment size are available.
The high geomorphic variability on the two sites is mainly related to storm berms due to the bimodal direction of storms. Storm berms demonstrate that rapid burial processes can occur on both beaches, with a potential maximum burial of 3.80–4.30 m in Portonovo in the northernmost edge of the beach and 1.10–1.85 m in the edges of Sirolo beach. The different burial magnitude of the two sites is mainly ascribable to smaller accommodation space for sediment transport of Portonovo beach because of its landward and cross-shore physical barriers, which increase the vertical accumulation of gravelly sediments in proximity to the shoreline. The maximum potential oil depth, predominantly related to storm berms, is the most alarming factor to be considered in the case of an oil spill event, especially in dynamic microtidal beaches where storm berms are usually very close to the shoreline. A better interpretation of the internal structure of mixed sand and gravel beaches is also needed to understand how sediment variability affects oil penetration and persistence. The
Statements
Data availability statement
All datasets generated for this study are included in the manuscript and/or the supplementary files.
Author contributions
PC and EG conceptualized the work. EG conducted the field work, laboratory analyses, and data curation, and wrote the original manuscript. PC reviewed and supervised the manuscript.
Acknowledgments
A previous version of this research work was presented at the Sixth International Symposium Monitoring of Mediterranean Coastal Areas: Problems and Measurements Techniques, Livorno (Italy), September 28–29, 2016, with the title “Vulnerability Assessment of Two Adriatic Mixed Beaches for Potential Oil Spill Events,” by EG, PC, and Michele Molinelli. We are thankful to Michele Molinelli for his help during the data collection in the field and grain size analyses. We are also thankful to Duccio Bertoni, Alessandro Pozzebon, and Giannino Grottoli for their help during the sediment sampling in Portonovo.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Footnotes
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Summary
Keywords
oil spill, mixed beaches, coarse-grained beaches, storm berm, burial, ESI
Citation
Grottoli E and Ciavola P (2019) The Role of Detailed Geomorphic Variability in the Vulnerability Assessment of Potential Oil Spill Events on Mixed Sand and Gravel Beaches: The Cases of Two Adriatic Sites. Front. Earth Sci. 7:242. doi: 10.3389/feart.2019.00242
Received
03 June 2019
Accepted
30 August 2019
Published
13 September 2019
Volume
7 - 2019
Edited by
Denise Reed, University of New Orleans, United States
Reviewed by
Jacqui Michel, Research Planning, Inc., United States; Ping Wang, University of South Florida, United States; Mark Kulp, University of New Orleans, United States
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© 2019 Grottoli and Ciavola.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Edoardo Grottoli, e.grottoli@ulster.ac.uk
This article was submitted to Geohazards and Georisks, a section of the journal Frontiers in Earth Science
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