ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Environ. Sci.
Sec. Land Use Dynamics
Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1590814
This article is part of the Research TopicNew Insights and Advancement of Land Use Analytics in Modern City DevelopmentView all 5 articles
Article Title Decoding Urbanization Trade-offs in Shenzhen, China: A PLUS-InVEST-PLES Framework for Balancing Carbon Dynamics, Ecological Functionality, and Land Use Intensification
Provisionally accepted
- 1Shenzhen Research Institute of Nankai University, Shenzhen, China
- 2Nankai University, Tianjin, China
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Urbanization in coastal megacities leads to trade-offs between development and ecology, degrading carbon sinks and disrupting spatial-functional balance. Current models often fail to integrate land use, carbon dynamics, and ecological zoning. This study created a system that brings together Patchgenerating Land Use Simulation (PLUS), Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST), and Production-Living-Ecological Space (PLES) to examine how urban growth affects carbon storage and ecological balance in Shenzhen, China. Using GlobeLand30 datasets (2000-2020), land use was simulated under ecological priority scenarios until 2030. Findings revealed that a 50.15% expansion of built-up areas caused a 7.9% decline in carbon stock, with coastal areas hit hardest. PLES coordination improved slightly, but urban areas showed imbalances. A zoning scheme identified 40% built-up land as the threshold for carbon collapse, and the 2010 ecological control line policy reduced carbon loss by 41%. This study offers a replicable model for balancing urban development with ecological resilience.
Keywords: land use, Carbon Storage, PLES model, InVEST model, Urbanization
Received: 10 Mar 2025; Accepted: 14 May 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 LI, Li, Yu and Yu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence:
YU LI, Shenzhen Research Institute of Nankai University, Shenzhen, China
Han Yu, Shenzhen Research Institute of Nankai University, Shenzhen, China
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