Your new experience awaits. Try the new design now and help us make it even better

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Nutr.

Sec. Nutritional Epidemiology

Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fnut.2025.1598946

This article is part of the Research TopicDietary Pattern and Metabolic SyndromeView all 8 articles

Risk Factors Analysis and Prediction Models of Obesity in College Students Based on Dietary Patterns

Provisionally accepted
Jiawang  BaiJiawang BaiMengyuan  ChenMengyuan ChenWenfeng  HouWenfeng HouYan  HanYan HanJihong  ShaoJihong ShaoYing  ZhangYing ZhangYang  JiaoYang JiaoHui  HuaHui HuaXiangmei  RenXiangmei Ren*
  • Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Background: Overweight and obesity among college students have become significant public health concerns. This study aims to develop a nomogram model for assessing obesity risk in college students. Methods:A cross-sectional study was conducted among college students in Xuzhou. Demographic, dietary, and lifestyle information was obtained through self-administered questionnaires, while body composition was assessed using the InBody 570 analyzer. Dietary patterns and obesity prevalence were examined through multiple indicators. Principal component analysis (PCA), logistic regression, and a non-invasive risk assessment model based on percentage of body fat (PBF) were applied. Results: The vegetable meat grain dietary pattern and milk egg dietary pattern were associated with a reduced risk of PBF (P < 0.01), while the snack mode dietary pattern and aquatic meat dietary pattern increased the risk of PBF (P < 0.05). Binary logistic regression identified gender, physical activity, late-night snacking, regular meals, and a healthy diet as key predictors of PBF obesity in college students. The model achieved an Area Under Curve(AUC) of 0.805, with a non-significant Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L )test (P > 0.05). Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the model outperformed extreme curves, indicating its reliability. Conclusion: This study highlights the high prevalence of overweight and obesity among college students and the importance of using multiple indicators for comprehensive evaluation. The developed PBF-based nomogram model demonstrates potential for obesity screening but requires further validation in diverse populations.

Keywords: Risk prediction study, Obesity, college students, Dietary patterns, PBF

Received: 24 Mar 2025; Accepted: 22 Aug 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Bai, Chen, Hou, Han, Shao, Zhang, Jiao, Hua and Ren. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Xiangmei Ren, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.