ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Nutr.

Sec. Nutrition and Metabolism

Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fnut.2025.1612864

Association Between Triglyceride Glucose-Waist-Adjusted Waist Index and Incident Stroke in Chinese Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study

Provisionally accepted
Yaqin  YeYaqin YeZhenyi  HeZhenyi HeJingguo  WuJingguo WuJunlin  WuJunlin WuYanbing  LiangYanbing Liang*
  • The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

ObjectiveCurrent literature lacks evidence on the association between the triglyceride glucose-weight-adjusted waist index (TyG-WWI) and incident stroke. Therefore, this study aims to elucidate the relationship between TyG-WWI and stroke risk in a nationally representative cohort of middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults by: (1) Quantitatively assessing its prospective association with incident stroke, and (2) Investigating potential nonlinear relationships and inflection points.MethodsThis national longitudinal study examined data from five waves of the CHARLS (2011–2020). TyG-WWI served as the key exposure variable, while stroke incidence, as determined by physician diagnosis, was the principal outcome of interest. Associations were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models alongside nonlinear analyses, with careful adjustment for a range of covariates. To further ensure the reliability of our findings, we performed a series of sensitivity and subgroup analyses.ResultsIn this study, we investigated the association between TyG-WWI and stroke risk. The results demonstrated a significant positive correlation between TyG-WWI quartiles and stroke risk, with HRs of 1.35 (95% CI 1.08 - 1.69, P = 0.0094), 1.38 (95% CI 1.09 - 1.73, P = 0.0069), and 1.42 (95% CI 1.09 - 1.85, P = 0.0086) for Q2, Q3, and Q4 respectively compared to Q1 in Model III (P for trend = 0.0158). A two-piecewise linear regression model revealed an inflection point of TyG-WWI at 43.32, with a significant association between TyG-WWI and stroke risk only above this point (HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01 - 1.05, P = 0.0008). Stratified analysis indicated a more robust association in non-hypertensive individuals (HR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.29 - 2.91, P = 0.0014 in Q4) and a significant interaction for hypertension status (P for interaction = 0.0493).ConclusionsIn conclusion, our study reveals a significant association between TyG-WWI and stroke risk in the middle-aged and elderly population in China, with stroke risk increasing progressively across higher TyG-WWI quartiles. Notably, this association was significantly more pronounced in non-hypertensive individuals. Furthermore, an inflection point indicates a stronger association beyond this threshold.

Keywords: Stroke, TyG-WWI, nonlinear association, Insulin Resistance, Smooth curve fitting

Received: 16 Apr 2025; Accepted: 18 Jun 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Ye, He, Wu, Wu and Liang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Yanbing Liang, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

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