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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Phys.

Sec. Interdisciplinary Physics

State Evaluation of Zinc Oxide Arrester Based on Initial Probabilistic Self-learning Bayes Algorithm

Provisionally accepted
Xiaowei  HUANGXiaowei HUANG*Yongling  LUYongling LUZhitong  XUEZhitong XUEHaiquan  HUANGHaiquan HUANGXinhui  ZHOUXinhui ZHOUYuanyuan  WangYuanyuan WangHao  DingHao Ding
  • State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., LTD, Nanjing, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

In order to improve the accuracy of state evaluation of Zinc Oxide arrester, a method of state evaluation of Zinc Oxide arrester based on initial probabilistic self-learning Bayes algorithm is proposed. The method firstly uses association rules to mine the correlation of state parameters under various fault modes, and then adopts 5-level state evaluation method to establish a hierarchical criterion for quantifying the health state of arrester. The threshold and score of each parameter in the hierarchical model are determined by fuzzy membership function, and the corresponding equipment state is evaluated by using the historical, current and predicted state information of arrester. Then, considering the data characteristics of these three types of information and the correlation of state parameters, the conditional probability table self-learning was carried out, and finally a Bayesian network-based zinc oxide condition assessment model was established. The conditional probability table and transaction matrix heat map corresponding to all levels of state under comprehensive assessment were obtained, and the comprehensive condition assessment method of equipment operation was given. Finally, through a practical case, it is verified that this method achieves a condition assessment accuracy of 93.33%, which is significantly superior to the traditional single-parameter method and clustering algorithm.

Keywords: Association rules mining, Bayesian network, ConditionAssessment, Initial probability, Self-learning, Zinc oxide arrester

Received: 07 Sep 2025; Accepted: 09 Dec 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 HUANG, LU, XUE, HUANG, ZHOU, Wang and Ding. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Xiaowei HUANG

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