ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Plant Sci.
Sec. Functional Plant Ecology
Volume 16 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fpls.2025.1601956
Optimized MaxEnt analysis revealing the change of potential distribution area of Lygodium japonicum in China driven by global warming
Provisionally accepted
Yuxin Shan1
Hongjian Shen1Ling Huang1
Hamizah Shahirah Hamezah2
Rongchun Han1*Xia Ren3Chunhong Zhang4
Xiaohui Tong1- 1Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China
- 2National University of Malaysia, Bangi, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia
- 3Bozhou Vocational and Technical College, Bozhou, China
- 4Taihe County Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taihe, China
Select one of your emails
You have multiple emails registered with Frontiers:
Notify me on publication
Please enter your email address:
If you already have an account, please login
You don't have a Frontiers account ? You can register here
China, yet large-scale cultivation remains limited, relying heavily on wild populations.As climate change accelerates, its potential distribution is expected to shift, affecting suitable growth areas. Despite its medicinal importance, research on its adaptability and future habitat changes is limited. This study used an optimized MaxEnt ecological niche model and Geographic Information System (GIS) to predict the potential suitable habitats of L. japonicum under current and future climate conditions (2041-2060 and 2061-2080) across three greenhouse gas emission scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585). Results show that under current climatic conditions, the potential habitat of L. japonicum spans approximately 216.31 × 10⁴ km², with high suitability areas concentrated in southern and eastern China. In future climate scenarios, While the total suitable habitat area remains stable, the area of high suitability is significantly reduced. Specifically, under the SSP126 scenario, high suitability areas are projected to decrease by 44.1% during 2041-2060. The centroid of high suitability areas is expected to shift northward, though a localized southward shift is observed under the SSP126 scenario. Key environmental factors influencing the species' distribution include temperature seasonality (bio4), May precipitation (prec5), and mean diurnal temperature range (bio2). These findings highlight the potential impacts of climate change on L. japonicum's distribution and are crucial for the conservation and sustainable utilization of the species in China, particularly under changing climatic conditions.
Keywords: Lygodium japonicum, Maxent, Global Warming, Environment variables, Potential distribution
Received: 28 Mar 2025; Accepted: 05 Jun 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Shan, Shen, Huang, Hamezah, Han, Ren, Zhang and Tong. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Rongchun Han, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China
Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.