Estimation of Forests Above-Ground Biomass Based on Stacked Ensemble Model in Chongqing, China

Jinlian LiuZhiyun ChenBangxiang LuoAo SunXuezhong WenTongyi Huang^*

• Chongqing Forestry Planning and Design Institute, Chongqing, China

Accurate regional-scale estimation of forest aboveground biomass (AGB) is critical for effective forest management and terrestrial carbon cycle research. However, applications integrating multiple machine learning models (MLs) for forest AGB estimation in mountainous forests remain limited. In this study, we introduced a practical method to estimate diameter at breast height (DBH < 5 cm) for sub-threshold trees using National Forest Inventory (NFI) data. By combining Sentinel-2 remote sensing imagery and DEM data, we employed individual MLs (RF, XgBost, CatBoost and SVM) and a stacking approach to estimate forest AGB in Chongqing under two scenarios: with and without under-threshold trees. The DBH estimation method achieved high accuracy (R² = 0.93, RMSE = 1.46 cm). Feature importance analysis showed spectral bands dominated predictors, while vegetation and topographic indices varied across models. CatBoost outperformed RF and XgBoost in both scenarios. The stacked ensemble model demonstrated best performances in including under-threshold trees in cross-validation (CV) and external verification (EV) (R² = 0.65, RMSE = 24.34 Mg·ha⁻¹; R² = 0.68, RMSE = 25.45 Mg·ha⁻¹), generating 10m-resolution AGB maps with consistent spatial patterns suitable for mountainous urban terrain. This work advances AGB estimation in southwestern China’s mountains regions and provides insights for forest ecology and management.