Abstract
Climate change triggered by global warming poses a major threat to agricultural systems globally. This phenomenon is characterized by emergence of pests and diseases, extreme weather events, such as prolonged drought, high intensity rains, hailstones and frosts, which are becoming more frequent ultimately impacting negatively to agricultural production including rain-fed tea cultivation. Kenya is predominantly an agricultural based economy, with the tea sector generating about 26% of the total export earnings and about 4% gross domestic product (GDP). In the recent years, however, the country has witnessed unstable trends in tea production associated with climate driven stresses. Toward mitigation and adaptation of climate change, multiple approaches for impact assessment, intensity prediction and adaptation have been advanced in the Kenyan tea sub-sector. Further, pressure on tea breeders to release improved climate-compatible cultivars for the rapidly deteriorating environment has resulted in the adoption of a multi-targeted approach seeking to understand the complex molecular regulatory networks associated with biotic and abiotic stresses adaptation and tolerance in tea. Genetic modeling, a powerful tool that assists in breeding process, has also been adopted for selection of tea cultivars for optimal performance under varying climatic conditions. A range of physiological and biochemical responses known to counteract the effects of environmental stresses in most plants that include lowering the rates of cellular growth and net photosynthesis, stomatal closure, and the accumulation of organic solutes such as sugar alcohols, or osmolytes have been used to support breeding programs through screening of new tea cultivars suitable for changing environment. This review describes simulation models combined with high resolution climate change scenarios required to quantify the relative importance of climate change on tea production. In addition, both biodiversity and ecosystem based approaches are described as a part of an overall adaptation strategy to mitigate adverse effects of climate change on tea in Kenya and gaps highlighted for urgent investigations.
Introduction
Human activity is driving significant changes in global and regional climate systems through enhanced greenhouse effects (). Global climate models predict that these changes will alter both mean climate parameters and the frequency and magnitude of extreme meteorological events that may include heat waves, severe storm events and drought (Semenov and Halford, 2009). Such changes may have significant destabilizing effects, decoupling existing relationships between species, altering species distributions and challenging current management regimes. Understanding and predicting the impacts of climate change on agricultural ecosystem processes is thus critical.
Tea, Camellia sinensis (L.) O Kuntze, originated from areas of monsoon climates with a warm, wet summer and a cool, dry (or less wet) winter. However, with dispersal the plant is now grown in conditions which range from Mediterranean-type climates to the hot humid tropics (). It is an economically important crop, extensively consumed as non-alcoholic beverage across the globe. It is profoundly known for its taste, flavor, aroma and medicinal properties attributed to rich beneficial secondary metabolites (). As a perennial plant, tea encounters a large number of environmental stresses throughout its life span. The minimum annual rainfall generally considered sufficient for the successful cultivation of tea varies between 1150 and 1400 mm per year (). In most tea growing areas, well distributed rainfall (150 mm per month) ensures continuous crop production. A positive correlation between the integrated measure of air temperature and the rate of shoot extension has been reported. Minimum air temperature required to support shoot growth is about 13–14°C, with optimum range of 18–30°C. Excessive daytime maximum temperature beyond 30°C is known to restrict shoot growth rate, whereas freezing night temperature followed by a rapid rise in day temperature (night frost) leads to leaf scorching (). Relatively higher day temperatures as compared to night temperature, leaf temperature below 35°C and soil temperature between 20 and 25°C are considered optimum for tea growth (,). Also long photoperiods are essential for maximum yield (). Studies across the tea growing regions have revealed that the weather is becoming more erratic and less predictable: more hot days, reduced number of rainy days and discernible decline in the annual hours of sunshine (; ; ; Ochieng et al., 2016; Papalexiou et al., 2018).
Kenya is predominantly an agricultural based economy. Tea was reportedly introduced in the country by the Caine brothers who imported dark-leafed “Manipuri” hybrid seeds from Assam in 1904 and 1905 to establish a plantation at Limuru, Central Kenya (). In 1912, Chinary (var. sinensis) seeds were imported from Sri-Lanka to establish a plantation of tea with high quality and yield (). Planting expanded rapidly from 1924 following advice on the use of quality seeds from the light colored leaf Assam or Manipuri types for drought resistance (). In the year 2018, Kenya produced 493 Million Kg earning the country over Kshs. 140 Billion in foreign exchange. This represents about 26% of the total export earnings, and about 4% gross domestic product (GDP) (Wachira, 2002; ; ). The country has more than 232,742 hectares of tea () spread in 18 counties and due to the low level of mechanization involved in cultivation, it offers direct and/or indirect employment to over 10% of the population. Further, because the industry is largely rural based, it contributes to both the local rural economies and reduces rural-urban migration (Wachira, 2002). Sustainability of the industry is thus crucial to the country’s socio-economic well-being and development. Being a rainfed plantation crop in Kenya, tea depends greatly on weather for optimal growth. The plant is grown in high altitude areas East and West of the Great Rift Valley, between 1400 and 2700 m amsl, where rainfall ranges between 1800 and 2500 mm annually. Evidence suggests a negative impact of global warming on production and quality of tea, especially with regards to temperature rise, unpredictable rainfall trends and increasing frequency of extreme weather events such as hail storms, drought and frost (Figure 1; ; , ). Studies have documented that stress, especially drought, account for 14–20% loss in yield and 6–19% plant mortality (; ). Multiple environmental parameters are known to impact tea quality, although the directionality and magnitude is not clear likely due to variations in various factors such as cultivar, environment and management conditions (). Under such circumstances, tea production is vulnerable to the predicted climate change effects and, subsequently, greater economic, social, and environmental problems. There is need for scientific and community-based adaptation and mitigation strategies. Adoption of a multi-targeted approaches that seek to understand the complex physiological, biochemical and molecular regulatory networks associated with stress response will ensure sustainability of the tea sector. These necessitate intense research to improve tea production under diverse stress conditions.
FIGURE 1
Impact of Climate Change on Tea Production
With climate change, it is expected that the main tea growing areas will experience an increase in the length of dry seasons per year, warmer temperatures and/or extreme rainfall intensity (Wijeratne, 1996; Trejo-Calzada and O’Connell, 2005; ). Climate data collected at KALRO-TRI for over 58 years, indicate an annual temperature rise of 0.016°C per year while annual rainfall decreased by 4.82 mm per year over the same period (). This has led to continued increase in soil water deficit (SWD) over time. On an annual basis, a large SWD, especially in January, February and March is reported leading to significant oscillations in tea production annually ().
Simulation models provide the best known approach for integrating our understanding of complex plant processes that are influenced by weather and other environmental factors. Models are useful in guiding the direction of fundamental research by providing quantitative predictions and highlighting gaps in our knowledge (Semenov and Halford, 2009). Their use in assessing the impact of climate change and identifying potential future threats in plant sciences has been extensively reported (Sinclair and Muchow, 2001; Porter and Semenov, 2005; Passioura, 2007). Simulation models combined with high resolution climate change scenarios have been used to quantify the regions that could be suitable for economic production of tea in Kenya by the year 2075 (Figure 2; ). Maps generated in a GIS environment using climate data from the Kenya Meteorological Services predicted that the mean air temperature for the region would increase by about 2% by 2025 and by 11% by 2075, if no action is taken. Distribution of areas suitable for tea cultivation within the current growing areas in Kenya will decrease. This is attributed to rainfall distribution and not amounts of rainfall received. The rise in mean air temperatures beyond the threshold of 23.5°C might also occur. Further, suitability of tea growing areas is expected to decline by 22.5% by the year 2075 while a suitability increase of 8% is expected by 2025. In order to boost the adaptation and performance of tea, a key strategy would be first to understand the mechanisms involved in stress tolerance, and then use appropriate tools and breed for stress tolerance.
FIGURE 2
Considering the established positive influence of temperature on tea production, it is imperative to conduct the economics of supplying water to tea fields during drought to reap from the enterprise (
Recent works were driven principally by the emergence of improved cultivars which had poor rooting system hence subject to water stress problems. Relations between young grafted teas with water stress had been done (
Response of Tea to Climate Change
Plant responses to stress are dynamic and complex. This is often manifested by its physiological and biochemical reactions, which can provide a basis for screening for and selection of individual varieties and germplasm resistant to stress factors. Such responses include stomatal closure, repression of cell growth and photosynthesis, accumulation of organic osmolytes, and activation of respiration (
TABLE 1
| Techniques/approaches | Target trait | References |
| Physiological characterization | ||
| Relative water content | Drought tolerance | |
| Shoot water potential | Drought tolerance | |
| Gas exchange measurement | Drought tolerance | |
| Genotype (G) × Environment (E) interaction | Yield | Wachira et al., 2002 |
| Biochemical characterization | ||
| Total Polyphenols | Drought tolerance | |
| Amino acids (Proline) | Drought tolerance | |
| Amines (Glycinebetaine) | Drought tolerance | |
| Epicatechin and Epigallocatechin | Drought tolerance | |
| Physiological:Biochemical characterization | ||
| Short-time Withering Assessment of Probability for Drought Tolerance | Drought tolerance | |
| Combining ability | Drought tolerance, Quality and Yield | |
| Molecular approaches | ||
| Linkage analysis and QTL mapping (RAPD, AFLP and SSR) | Yield | |
| Linkage analysis and QTL mapping (DArT) | Drought tolerance and quality | |
| Bulked segregant analysis (BSA) | Yield | |
| Genomics | Drought tolerance and black tea quality | |
| Suppression subtractive hybridization | Drought tolerance | |
| Transcriptomics | Drought tolerance |
An overview of various breeding strategies employed to improve tolerance of tea to adverse environmental factors in Kenya.
Physiological Responses
Climate change induced stresses affect plant systems such as photosynthesis, respiration and water retaining capacity. Tea plants exhibit C3 mechanism of photosynthesis, a key process affected by water deficits, via decreased CO2 diffusion to the chloroplast leading to metabolic constraints (Tezara et al., 2002;
Tea has a critical xylem water potential value of −0.7 to −0.8 megapascal (MPa) in relation to potential SWD and saturation deficits of the air (
Biochemical Responses
As water is being removed from the cell, osmotic potential is reduced due to the effect of solute concentration (Yamada et al., 2005). However, if during the course of cellular water loss solutes are actively accumulated, osmotic potential would be reduced beyond the rate dictated by the mere effect of concentration. These involve the accumulation of organic compounds such as amino acids (e.g., proline), quaternary and other amines (e.g., glycinebetaine and polyamines) and a variety of sugars and sugar alcohols (e.g., mannitol, trehalose, and galactinol). Proline is widely studied because of its considerable role in stabilizing sub-cellular structures, scavenging free radicals, and buffering cellular redox potential under stress conditions (
Genomic Responses
Rapid progress in molecular breeding in tea is attributable to advances in genomics technologies, especially DNA sequencing, leading to publication of two draft genomes (Xia et al., 2017; Wei et al., 2018). In Kenya, the approach has been integrated into tea improvement programs.
Breeding and Selection
Conventional Approach
Sustainability and profitability of the tea industry depends primarily on the availability of desired planting materials. Most of the genetic improvement and the substantial increase in tea yields realized this far is brought about by conventional breeding through selection for hybrid vigor, though the process has continued to evolve over the years (Figure 3). Tea breeding essentially consists of four phases; generation of genetic variability, selection of useful genotypes and comparative tests to demonstrate the superiority of the selected genotypes. A fourth phase that involves exposing pre-released and promising clones to multiple sites (genotype-environment interaction) for stability and adaptability is always the final phase in plant improvement programs (Wachira et al., 2002;
FIGURE 3

Schematic diagram on tea improvement strategies and techniques that have evolved over a period of time. Arrows in between boxes 1, 2, 3, and 4 show the evolutionary time scale of the development of the strategies. CATs, clonal adaptability trials; CFTs, clonal field trials; MAS, marker assisted selection; PTs, progeny trials; QTLs, quantitative trait loci.
Approaches involving intravarietal and interspecific hybridizations have also been tapped as means of introducing desirable traits (
As water resources for agriculture become more limiting, the need to develop drought tolerant cultivars is increasingly gaining importance. The ability of plants to tolerate changes in extremes of abiotic stress conditions is a complex and coordinated response, involving hundreds of genes. These responses are also affected by interactions between the different environmental factors and the developmental stage of the plant. Breeding involves genetic alteration or modification of organisms through natural or human-imposed mutations or crosses. This process has continued to evolve in tea over the years. A foundation in conventional breeding has contributed significantly to tea improvement. This involves the identification of stress tolerant parents (Table 2), intra- or interspecific hybridization, establishment of progeny trials (PTs), clonal field trials (CFTs), and clonal adaptability trials (CATs).
TABLE 2
| High yield potential | High quality potential | Pest tolerance/resistance | Drought tolerance | High soil pH tolerance | Cold tolerance | Genetic study |
| TRFK 31/8 | TRFK 6/89 | TRFK 7/93 | TRFCA SFS150 | EPK TN14-3 | EPK TN14-3 | TRFK 12/21 |
| TRFK 303/5778 | GW Ejulu-L | TRFK 57/153 | TRFK 303/5778 | NDT Tai | TRFCA SFS150 | TRFK K-Purple |
| TRFK 301/4 | EPK TN 15-23 | AHP SC31/373 | EPK C12 | TRFK 31/302 | ||
| TRFK 301/5 | AHP S15/103 | NRIT Yabukita6 | TRFK 311/2872 | |||
| EPK C12 | EPK TN14-35 | NRIT Yutakamidori6 | TRFK 382/17 | |||
| BBLK 35 | TRFK 303/11993 | TRFK 382/27 | ||||
| AHP S15/109 | TRFK 54/404 | TRFK 386/27 | ||||
| AHP SC12/289 | TRFCA SFS1503 | TRFK 371/17 | ||||
| AHP SC31/37 | AHP CG28U8644 | TRFK 30610 | ||||
| AHP CG28V9299 | TRFK 301/14 | Wild Camellia spp. | ||||
| AHP CG28U864 | TRFK L/164 |
Breeding stocks and their expected genetic contribution in breeding program.
1Non fermenter; 2tetraploid; 3resistant to red crevice mite 4susceptible to scales; 5preferred but highly tolerant to red crevice mite; 6green tea varieties-low catechin content; 7triploid; 8susceptible to root knot nematodes; 9very susceptible to water stress; 10anthocyanin tea cultivar.
Attempts to improve stress tolerance in tea through conventional breeding programs have, however, met limited success, partially attributed to the robust breeding programs and improved crop husbandry (
From Conventional to Molecular Breeding
Understanding the genetics of how organisms adapt to changing environment is crucial for the adaptability of a genotype (
Most attributes of agricultural importance frequently manipulated by plant breeders (e.g., size, shape, yield, quality, tolerance to abiotic, and sometimes biotic stresses) display a quantitative mode of inheritance and normally exhibit continuous variation (
The first genetic linkage maps for tea was constructed using RAPD and AFLP markers and covered 1349.7 cM with an average distance of 11.7 cM (
Future Prospects
Great progress has been made in assessment of the relationship between tea productivity and climate change. In order to anticipate the effects of climate change on tea and provide scientists with necessary knowledge and tools, multidisciplinary approaches should be embraced. The approaches outlined below are recommended:
- (a)
It would be important to quantify the long term response of the tea plant to elevated CO2 concentrations so as to understand the link between carbon supply and plant growth. The extensive use of artificial environments such as the free air CO2 enrichment (FACE) technology can help examine the magnitude of elevated CO2 on tea yield and quality at the level of the ecosystem.
- (b)
Invest in alternative breeding approaches such as mutation breeding for increased genetic variability. This should be followed by standardizing selection procedures which attempt to identify useful genotypes.
- (c)
Studies have shown that the response of plants to a combination of stresses is unique and cannot be directly extrapolated from the response of plant to each of the different stresses applied individually. Further, simultaneous occurrence of several stresses enhances the intensity of lethality to crop as compared to that imposed by a single stress. Nevertheless, little is known about the molecular mechanisms underlying the acclimation of tea to a combination of different stresses. Systems biology approach facilitate a multi-targeted approach for understanding complex molecular regulatory networks associated with stress adaptation and tolerance. The approach can help overcome limitations associated with morphological, biochemical and molecular adaptation of the plants to stress. Tolerance to a combination of different stress conditions, particularly those that mimic the field environment, should be the focus of future research programs aimed at developing improved varieties and plants with enhanced tolerance to naturally occurring environmental conditions.
- (d)
Establish multi-stakeholders collaborations aimed at developing sustainable adaptation strategies for management of climate risks associated with climate change in the tea industry.
Statements
Author contributions
All authors wrote and revised the manuscript.
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research Organization for the support in developing and publishing of this review.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
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Summary
Keywords
Camellia, modeling, breeding, molecular, physiology
Citation
Muoki CR, Maritim TK, Oluoch WA, Kamunya SM and Bore JK (2020) Combating Climate Change in the Kenyan Tea Industry. Front. Plant Sci. 11:339. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2020.00339
Received
28 August 2019
Accepted
06 March 2020
Published
25 March 2020
Volume
11 - 2020
Edited by
Selena Ahmed, Montana State University, United States
Reviewed by
Klára Kosová, Crop Research Institute (CRI), Czechia; Shalini Tiwari, CSIR-National Botanical Research Institute, India
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© 2020 Muoki, Maritim, Oluoch, Kamunya and Bore.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Chalo Richard Muoki, rmchalo@gmail.com
This article was submitted to Crop and Product Physiology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Plant Science
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