ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Plant Sci.
Sec. Functional Plant Ecology
Volume 16 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fpls.2025.1538566
This article is part of the Research TopicPlant Ecophysiology: Responses to Climate Changes and Stress ConditionsView all 32 articles
Potentially suitable geographical area for Pulsatilla chinensis Regel under current and future climatic scenarios based on the MaxEnt model
Provisionally accepted
- 1School of Pharmacy, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China
- 2Institute of Systems Biology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysi, Bandar Baru Bangi, Malaysia
- 3Joint Research Center for Chinese Herbal Medicine of Anhui of IHM, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China
- 4School of Life Sciences, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China
Select one of your emails
You have multiple emails registered with Frontiers:
Notify me on publication
Please enter your email address:
If you already have an account, please login
You don't have a Frontiers account ? You can register here
Climate change has significantly impacted the distribution patterns of medicinal plants, necessitating the development of accurate models to predict future habitat shifts. This study employed the Maximum Entropy model to analyze the habitat distribution of Pulsatilla chinensis (Bunge) Regel under current conditions and two future climate scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585). Based on 105 occurrence records and 12 environmental variables, Precipitation of the wettest quarter, Isothermality, Average November temperature, and Standard deviation of temperature seasonality were identified as the key variables of habitat suitability for P. chinensis. The reliability of the model was confirmed by a mean Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.916 and a True Skill Statistic (TSS) value of 0.608. Results indicated that while the total suitable habitat for P. chinensis expanded under both scenarios, the highly suitable area under SSP585 contracted significantly compared to SSP245. This suggests the need to incorporate climate change into P. chinensis management strategies to address potential challenges that may arise from future changes in ecosystem dynamics.
Keywords: ArcGIS, Ecological suitability zoning, Future climate change, MAXENT model, Pulsatilla chinensis
Received: 03 Dec 2024; Accepted: 28 Apr 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Wu, Guan, Ge, Huang, Rohani, Han and Tong. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Xiaohui Tong, School of Life Sciences, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China
Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.